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Match-fixing undermines the integrity of sport by eroding public trust and threatening the financial sustainability of clubs and leagues. The global expansion of sports betting markets has created new incentives and opportunities for…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-29 David Winkelmann , Maya Vienken , Christian Deutscher , Roland Langrock

Analyzing football score data with statistical techniques, we investigate how the highly co-operative nature of the game is reflected in averaged properties such as the distributions of scored goals for the home and away teams. It turns out…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Elmar Bittner , Andreas Nussbaumer , Wolfhard Janke , Martin Weigel

Discussions on outstanding---positively and/or negatively---athletes are common practice. The rapidly grown amount of collected sports data now allow to support such discussions with state of the art statistical methodology. Given a…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-11 Manuel J. A. Eugster

A myriad of different data are generated to characterize a soccer match. Here we discuss which performance indicators are particularly helpful to forecast the future results of a team via an estimation of the underlying team strengths with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-10 Andreas Heuer

When testing a statistical hypothesis, is it legitimate to deliberate on the basis of initial data about whether and how to collect further data? Game-theoretic probability's fundamental principle for testing by betting says yes, provided…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Glenn Shafer

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

A key aspect of the design of evolutionary and swarm intelligence algorithms is studying their performance. Statistical comparisons are also a crucial part which allows for reliable conclusions to be drawn. In the present paper we gather…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-26 J. Carrasco , S. García , M. M. Rueda , S. Das , F. Herrera

Sports game data is becoming increasingly complex, often consisting of multivariate data such as player performance stats, historical team records, and athletes' positional tracking information. While numerous visual analytics systems have…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Tica Lin , Zhutian Chen , Yalong Yang , Daniele Chiappalupi , Johanna Beyer , Hanspeter Pfister

In sports betting it is easier to predict the winner of a game match than the team that covers the bet. Since, a winner team might not cover a bet. This study focuses on the relation of the variable win to the betting variable cover the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-27 Luis A. Mateos

Computational Social Choice (ComSoc) is a rapidly developing field at the intersection of computer science, economics, social choice, and political science. The study of tournaments is fundamental to ComSoc and many results have been…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-04 Nicholas Mattei , Toby Walsh

We present an extensive statistical analysis of the results of all sports competitions in five major sports leagues in England and the United States. We characterize the parity among teams by the variance in the winning fraction from…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , F. Vazquez , S. Redner

The chances to win a football match can be significantly increased if the right tactic is chosen and the behavior of the opposite team is well anticipated. For this reason, every professional football club employs a team of game analysts.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Eric Müller-Budack , Jonas Theiner , Robert Rein , Ralph Ewerth

It is challenging to get access to datasets related to the physical performance of soccer players. The teams consider such information highly confidential, especially if it covers in-game performance.Hence, most of the analysis and…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-18 Laszlo Gyarmati , Mohamed Hefeeda

In this study, basketball teams are conceptualized as complex adaptive systems to examine their (re)organizational processes in response the time remaining to shoot. Using temporal passing networks to model team behavior, the focus is on…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Quentin Bourgeais , Rodolphe Charrier , Eric Sanlaville , Ludovic Seifert

Information sharing between individuals is crucial to improve performance in collective tasks. However, in a competitive world, individuals may be reluctant to share information with the others, and it is still unclear how the presence of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-04 Ye Wang , Andrea Civilini , Anzhi Sheng , Xiaojie Chen , Long Wang , Vito Latora

Wheelchair basketball, regulated by the International Wheelchair Basketball Federation, is a sport designed for individuals with physical disabilities. This paper presents a data-driven tool that effectively determines optimal team line-ups…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-06 Gabriel Calvo , Carmen Armero , Bernd Grimm , Christophe Ley

Tennis is one of the world's biggest and most popular sports. Multiple researchers have, with limited success, modeled the outcome of matches using probability modelling or machine learning approaches. The approach presented here predicts…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-09 Martin Illum , Hans Christian Bechsøfft Mikkelsen , Emil Hovad

Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution, or a closely related one, have been widely discussed. We here consider a soccer match as an experiment to assess which of two teams is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-29 G. K. Skinner , G. H. Freeman

Box score statistics are the baseline measures of performance for National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) basketball. Between the 2011-2012 and 2015-2016 seasons, NCAA teams performed better at home compared to on the road in nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-11 Matthew van Bommel , Luke Bornn , Peter Chow-White , Chuancong Gao

Data analysis plays an increasingly important role in soccer, offering new ways to evaluate individual and team performance. One specific application is the evaluation of dribbles: one-on-one situations where an attacker attempts to bypass…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Michiel Schepers , Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis