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Long-horizon wildfire risk forecasting requires generating probabilistic spatial fields under sparse event supervision while maintaining computational efficiency across multiple prediction horizons. Extending diffusion models to multi-step…
Generative models have proven to be an outstanding tool for representing high-dimensional probability distributions and generating realistic-looking images. An essential characteristic of generative models is their ability to produce…
Electric grid faults can cause catastrophic wildfires, particularly in regions with high winds and low humidity. In real-time operations, electric utilities are often left with few options for wildfire risk mitigation, leading to use of…
Electric power infrastructure has ignited several of the most destructive wildfires in recent history. Preemptive power shutoffs are an effective tool to mitigate the risk of ignitions from power lines, but at the same time can cause…
In the following, we introduce new proportional hazard (PH) processes, which are derived by a marginal transformation applied to complementary power function distribution (CPFD) processes. Also, we introduce two new Pareto processes, which…
Although the Poisson point process (PPP) has been widely used to model base station (BS) locations in cellular networks, it is an idealized model that neglects the spatial correlation among BSs. The present paper proposes the use of…
Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…
Cyberthreats are an increasingly common risk to the power grid and can thwart secure grid operations. We propose to extend contingency analysis to include cyberthreat evaluations. However, unlike the traditional N-1 or N-2 contingencies,…
Power delivery network (PDN) design is a nontrivial, time-intensive, and iterative task. Correct PDN design must account for considerations related to power bumps, currents, blockages, and signal congestion distribution patterns. This work…
Spatial point pattern data are routinely encountered. A flexible regression model for the underlying intensity is essential to characterizing the spatial point pattern and understanding the impacts of potential risk factors on such pattern.…
With the rapid advancement in the performance of deep neural networks (DNNs), there has been significant interest in deploying and incorporating artificial intelligence (AI) systems into real-world scenarios. However, many DNNs lack the…
Given the increasing prevalence of wildland fires in the Western US, there is a critical need to develop tools to understand and accurately predict burn severity. We develop a machine learning model to predict post-fire burn severity using…
The edges in networks are not only binary, either present or absent, but also take weighted values in many scenarios (e.g., the number of emails between two users). The covariate-$p_0$ model has been proposed to model binary directed…
The petroleum industry is crucial for modern society, but the production process is complex and risky. During the production, accidents or failures, resulting from undesired production events, can cause severe environmental and economic…
Feature selection procedures for spatial point processes parametric intensity estimation have been recently developed since more and more applications involve a large number of covariates. In this paper, we investigate the setting where the…
This work addresses the challenge of ignition timing and load control in homogeneous charge compression ignition engines operating subject to uncertainty from complex combustion dynamics and external disturbances. To handle this issue, we…
Wildfires are becoming increasingly frequent and devastating, and therefore the technology to combat them must adapt accordingly. Modern predictive models have failed to balance predictive accuracy and operational viability, resulting in…
Recent increase in wildfires worldwide has led to the need for real-time fire nowcasting. Physics-driven models, such as cellular automata and computational fluid dynamics can provide high-fidelity fire spread simulations but they are…
In the modern power market, electricity trading is an extremely competitive industry. More accurate price forecast is crucial to help electricity producers and traders make better decisions. In this paper, a novel method of convolutional…
Among the most relevant processes in the Earth system for human habitability are quasi-periodic, ocean-driven multi-year events whose dynamics are currently incompletely characterized by physical models, and hence poorly predictable. This…