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Modelling wildfire events has been studied in the literature using the Poisson process, which essentially assumes the independence of wildfire events. In this paper, we use the fractional Poisson process to model the wildfire occurrences in…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-22 Sudeep R. Bapat , Aditya Maheshwari

This paper presents a modeling approach for probabilistic estimation of hurricane wind-induced damage to infrastructural assets. In our approach, we employ a Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process (NHPP) model for estimating spatially-varying…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-11 Derek Chang , Kerry Emanuel , Saurabh Amin

In many forest fire incidences, late detection of the fire has lead to severe damages to the forest and human property requiring more resources to gain control over the fire. An early warning and immediate response system can be a promising…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-10-18 Kaushlendra Pandey , Abhishek Gupta

This paper examines the use of risk models to predict the timing and location of wildfires caused by electricity infrastructure. Our data include historical ignition and wire-down points triggered by grid infrastructure collected between…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-28 Mengqi Yao , Meghana Bharadwaj , Zheng Zhang , Baihong Jin , Duncan S. Callaway

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have proven instrumental across various computer science domains, enabling advancements in object detection, classification, and anomaly detection. This paper explores the application of CNNs to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Spiros Maggioros , Nikos Tsalkitzis

Utilities in California conduct Public Safety Power Shut-offs (PSPSs) to eliminate the elevated chances of wildfire ignitions caused by power lines during extreme weather conditions. We propose Wildfire Risk Aware operation planning Problem…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-15 Reza Bayani , Muhammad Waseem , Saeed D. Manshadi , Hassan Davani

Chimney fires constitute one of the most commonly occurring fire types. Precise prediction and prompt prevention are crucial in reducing the harm they cause. In this paper, we develop a combined machine learning and statistical modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-15 C. Lu , M. N. M. van Lieshout , M. de Graaf , P. Visscher

Due to severe societal and environmental impacts, wildfire prediction using multi-modal sensing data has become a highly sought-after data-analytical tool by various stakeholders (such as state governments and power utility companies) to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-12 Chen Xu , Yao Xie , Daniel A. Zuniga Vazquez , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

In 2023, Sicily faced an escalating issue of uncontrolled fires, necessitating a thorough investigation into their spatio-temporal dynamics. Our study addresses this concern through point process theory. Each wildfire is treated as a unique…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Alessandro Albano , Andrea Gilardi , Giada Adelfio

Wildfires pose a significant threat to the safe and reliable operations of the electric grid. To mitigate wildfire risk, system operators resort to public safety power shutoffs, or PSPS, that shed load for a subset of customers. As wildfire…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-09 Yuqi Zhou , Kaarthik Sundar , Deepjyoti Deka , Hao Zhu

As wildfires are expected to become more frequent and severe, improved prediction models are vital to mitigating risk and allocating resources. With remote sensing data, valuable spatiotemporal statistical models can be created and used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Alissa Chavalithumrong , Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

The study of post-wildfire plant regrowth is essential for developing successful ecosystem recovery strategies. Prior research mainly examines key ecological and biogeographical factors influencing post-fire succession. This research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Jiahe Liu , Xiaodi Wang

Most existing temporal point process models are characterized by conditional intensity function. These models often require numerical approximation methods for likelihood evaluation, which potentially hurts their performance. By directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Bingqing Liu

Risk management in many environmental settings requires an understanding of the mechanisms that drive extreme events. Useful metrics for quantifying such risk are extreme quantiles of response variables conditioned on predictor variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

Ecosystem of a forest suffers from many adverse events such as wild-fire which can occur randomly anywhere in the forest and grows in size with time. This paper aims to analyze performance of a network of randomly deployed wireless sensors…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Kaushlendra K. Pandey , Abhishek K. Gupta

In recent decades, the intensification of wildfire activity in western Canada has resulted in substantial socio-economic and environmental losses. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is hindered by the intrinsic stochasticity of ignition and…

Wildfires pose an increasing threat to the safety and reliability of power systems, particularly in distribution networks located in fire-prone regions. To mitigate ignition risk from electrical infrastructure, utilities often employ safety…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Xinyi Zhao , Prasanna Raut , Chaoyue Zhao , Alexandre Moreira

Temporal networks consist of timestamped directed interactions that may appear continuously in time, yet few studies have directly tackled the continuous-time modeling of networks. Here, we introduce a maximum-entropy approach to temporal…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Paolo Barucca

As wildfires in the United States are becoming more frequent and severe, mitigating wildfire ignition risk from power line faults is an increasingly crucial effort. Long-term ignition prevention strategies, especially converting overhead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-29 Sofia Taylor , Line A. Roald

Due to recent climate changes, we have seen more frequent and severe wildfires in the United States. Predicting wildfires is critical for natural disaster prevention and mitigation. Advances in technologies in data processing and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris
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