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Transmission lines, crucial to the power grid, are subjected to diverse environmental conditions such as wind, temperature, humidity, and pollution. While these conditions represent a consistent impact on the transmission lines, certain…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Prakash KC , Maryam Naghibolhosseini , Mohsen Zayernouri

Monitoring time between events (TBE) is a critical task in industrial settings. Traditional Statistical Process Monitoring (SPM) methods often assume that TBE variables follow an exponential distribution, which implies a constant failure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Hussam Ahmad , Adel Ahmadi Nadi , Mohammad Amini , Subhabrata Chakraborti

Over the past decade, the number of wildfire has increased significantly around the world, especially in the State of California. The high-level concentration of greenhouse gas (GHG) emitted by wildfires aggravates global warming that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Sifat Chowdhury , Kai Zhu , Yu Zhang

Wildfires pose a significant threat to ecosystems, wildlife, and human communities, leading to habitat destruction, pollutant emissions, and biodiversity loss. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is crucial for mitigating these impacts and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Zhengsen Xu , Jonathan Li , Sibo Cheng , Xue Rui , Yu Zhao , Hongjie He , Haiyan Guan , Aryan Sharma , Matthew Erxleben , Ryan Chang , Linlin Xu

Non-homogeneous Poisson processes are used in a wide range of scientific disciplines, ranging from the environmental sciences to the health sciences. Often, the central object of interest in a point process is the underlying intensity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-11 Tin Lok James Ng , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

In this paper, we introduce and study a convoluted version of the time fractional Poisson process by taking the discrete convolution with respect to space variable in the system of fractional differential equations that governs its state…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-20 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

In power systems, the risk of wildfire ignition has increased significantly in recent years. The impact and severity of these events on energy dispatch, as well as their societal ramifications, make wildfire prevention critical for power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Tomás Tapia , Ryan Piansky , Yury Dvorkin , Jean-Paul Watson

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

During dry and windy seasons, environmental conditions significantly increase the risk of wildfires, exposing power grids to disruptions caused by transmission line failures. Wildfire propagation exacerbates grid vulnerability, potentially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Juan-Alberto Estrada-Garcia , Ruiwei Jiang , Alexandre Moreira

The focus of this paper is on operating the electric power grid in a secure manner when wildfire risks are high. This is a challenging problem because of the uncertain ways in which the fires can impact the operation of the power system. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-15 Satyaprajna Sahoo , Anamitra Pal

Wildfires pose a serious threat to the environment of the world. The global wildfire season length has increased by 19% and severe wildfires have besieged nations around the world. Every year, forests are burned by wildfires, causing vast…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Prisha Shroff

Wildfires can severely damage electricity grids leading to long periods of power interruption. Climate change will exacerbate this threat by increasing the frequency of dry climate conditions. Under these climate conditions, human-related…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Alexandre Moreira , Felipe Pianco , Bruno Fanzeres , Alexandre Street , Ruiwei Jiang , Chaoyue Zhao , Miguel Heleno

In supply chain networks, firms dynamically form or dissolve partnerships to adapt to market fluctuations, posing a challenge for predicting future supply relationships. We model the occurrence of supply edges (firm i to firm j) as a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-19 Ling Xiang , Quan Hu , Xiang Zhang , Wei Lan , Bin Liu

Future wireless networks are required to support 1000 times higher data rate, than the current LTE standard. In order to meet the ever increasing demand, it is inevitable that, future wireless networks will have to develop seamless…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Young Jin Chun , Mazen Omar Hasna , Ali Ghrayeb , Marco Di Renzo

Over 8,024 wildfire incidents have been documented in 2024 alone, affecting thousands of fatalities and significant damage to infrastructure and ecosystems. Wildfires in the United States have inflicted devastating losses. Wildfires are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Lakshmi Aishwarya Malladi , Navarun Gupta , Ahmed El-Sayed , Xingguo Xiong

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Recent wildfires in the United States have resulted in loss of life and billions of dollars, destroying countless structures and forests. Fighting wildfires is extremely complex. It is difficult to observe the true state of fires due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Tina Diao , Samriddhi Singla , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Ahmed Eldawy , Ross Shachter , Mykel Kochenderfer

As the climate changes, the severity of wildland fires is expected to worsen. Models that accurately capture fire propagation dynamics greatly help efforts for understanding, responding to and mitigating the damages caused by these fires.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-12 John Burge , Matthew Bonanni , Matthias Ihme , Lily Hu

We propose a random forest estimator for the intensity of spatial point processes, applicable with or without covariates. It retains the well-known advantages of a random forest approach, including the ability to handle a large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Christophe Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier

Wildfires have significantly increased in the United States (U.S.), making certain areas harder to live in. This motivates us to jointly analyze active fires and population changes in the U.S. from July 2020 to June 2021. The available data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley