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We investigate the problem of continuous-time causal estimation under a minimax criterion. Let $X^T = \{X_t,0\leq t\leq T\}$ be governed by the probability law $P_{\theta}$ from a class of possible laws indexed by $\theta \in \Lambda$, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-09 Albert No , Tsachy Weissman

Experimental designs that are minimax in the presence of model misspecifications have been constructed so as to minimize the maximum, over classes of alternate response models, of the integrated mean squared error of the predicted values.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Rui Hu , Douglas P. Wiens

The current paper presents a novel machinery for studying non-asymptotic minimax estimation of high-dimensional matrices, which yields tight minimax rates for a large collection of loss functions in a variety of problems. Based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Zongming Ma , Yihong Wu

Obtaining sharp estimates for quantities involved in a given model is an integral part of the modeling process. For dynamical systems whose orbits display a complicated, perhaps chaotic, behaviour, the aim is usually to estimate time or…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Ricardo M. S. Rosa , Roger M. Temam

Maximal inequalities refer to bounds on expected values of the supremum of averages of random variables over a collection. They play a crucial role in the study of non-parametric and high-dimensional estimators, and especially in the study…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Supratik Basu , Arun K Kuchibhotla

We study the problem of estimating the joint probability mass function (pmf) over two random variables. In particular, the estimation is based on the observation of $m$ samples containing both variables and $n$ samples missing one fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-17 H. S. Melihcan Erol , Erixhen Sula , Lizhong Zheng

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

It is well known that Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) may attain minimax suboptimal rates in terms of the mean squared error (Birg\'e and Massart, 1993). In this paper, we prove that, under relatively mild assumptions, the suboptimality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Gil Kur , Eli Putterman , Alexander Rakhlin

In recent years, nonconvex minimax problems have attracted significant attention due to their broad applications in machine learning, including generative adversarial networks, robust optimization and adversarial training. Most existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Yan Gao , Yongchao Liu

We study balancing weight estimators, which reweight outcomes from a source population to estimate missing outcomes in a target population. These estimators minimize the worst-case error by making an assumption about the outcome model. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 David Bruns-Smith , Avi Feller

We look at stochastic optimization problems through the lens of statistical decision theory. In particular, we address admissibility, in the statistical decision theory sense, of the natural sample average estimator for a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Amitabh Basu , Tu Nguyen , Ao Sun

The paper deals with the problem of nonparametric estimating the $L_p$--norm, $p\in (1,\infty)$, of a probability density on $R^d$, $d\geq 1$ from independent observations. The unknown density %to be estimated is assumed to belong to a ball…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Alexander Goldenshluger , Oleg Lepski

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

We study optimal procedures for estimating a linear functional based on observational data. In many problems of this kind, a widely used assumption is strict overlap, i.e., uniform boundedness of the importance ratio, which measures how…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

Sample average approximation (SAA) replaces an intractable expected objective by an empirical average and is a basic device of modern stochastic optimization. We develop a rate theory for optimal values and empirical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Hien Duy Nguyen , Jacob Westerhout , Xin Guo

We consider minimax signal detection in the sequence model. Working with certain ellipsoids in the space of square-summable sequences of real numbers, with a ball of positive radius removed, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Clement Marteau , Theofanis Sapatinas

We consider exact asymptotics of the minimax risk for global testing against sparse alternatives in the context of high dimensional linear regression. Our results characterize the leading order behavior of this minimax risk in several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

The maximum entropy principle advocates to evaluate events' probabilities using a distribution that maximizes entropy among those that satisfy certain expectations' constraints. Such principle can be generalized for arbitrary decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Santiago Mazuelas , Yuan Shen , Aritz Pérez

We revisit a classical assumption for analyzing stochastic gradient algorithms where the squared norm of the stochastic subgradient (or the variance for smooth problems) is allowed to grow as fast as the squared norm of the optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Ahmet Alacaoglu , Yura Malitsky , Stephen J. Wright

Given a large number of covariates $Z$, we consider the estimation of a high-dimensional parameter $\theta$ in an individualized linear threshold $\theta^T Z$ for a continuous variable $X$, which minimizes the disagreement between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Huijie Feng , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao
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