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The problem is that of sequential probability forecasting for finite-valued time series. The data is generated by an unknown probability distribution over the space of all one-way infinite sequences. It is known that this measure belongs to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-02 Daniil Ryabko

The paper presents analytic expressions of minimax (worst-case) estimates for solutions of linear abstract Neumann problems in Hilbert space with uncertain (not necessarily bounded!) inputs and boundary conditions given incomplete…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Alexander Nakonechnyi , Sergiy Zhuk

Motivated by applications in the security of cyber-physical systems, we pose the finite blocklength communication problem in the presence of a jammer as a zero-sum game between the encoder-decoder team and the jammer, by allowing the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Anuj S. Vora , Ankur A. Kulkarni

This paper establishes a strict mathematical relationship between an arbitrary continuous function on a compact set and its global minima, like the well-known first order optimality condition for convex and differentiable functions. By…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Xiaopeng Luo

Self-normalized processes are basic to many probabilistic and statistical studies. They arise naturally in the the study of stochastic integrals, martingale inequalities and limit theorems, likelihood-based methods in hypothesis testing and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Victor H. de la Peña , Michael J. Klass , Tze Leung Lai

This paper takes an initial step to systematically investigate the generalization bounds of algorithms for solving nonconvex-(strongly)-concave (NC-SC/NC-C) stochastic minimax optimization measured by the stationarity of primal functions.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Siqi Zhang , Yifan Hu , Liang Zhang , Niao He

Minimax lower bounds are pessimistic in nature: for any given estimator, minimax lower bounds yield the existence of a worst-case target vector $\beta^*_{worst}$ for which the prediction error of the given estimator is bounded from below.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Pierre C Bellec

This paper addresses the problem of stochastic optimization with decision-dependent uncertainty, a class of problems where the probability distribution of the uncertain parameters is influenced by the decision-maker's actions. While recent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-12 John Cotrina , Gonzalo Flores , David Salas , Anton Svensson

Calibration has emerged as a foundational goal in ``trustworthy machine learning'', in part because of its strong decision theoretic semantics. Independent of the underlying distribution, and independent of the decision maker's utility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Shayan Kiyani , Hamed Hassani , George Pappas , Aaron Roth

We consider a natural dynamic staffing problem in which a decision-maker sequentially hires workers over a finite horizon to meet an unknown demand revealed at the end. Predictions about demand arrive over time and become increasingly…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Yiding Feng , Vahideh Manshadi , Rad Niazadeh , Saba Neyshabouri

In this paper, we consider a finite-dimensional optimization problem minimizing a continuous objective on a compact domain subject to a multi-dimensional constraint function. For the latter, we assume the availability of a global Lipschitz…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Adrian Göß , Alexander Martin , Sebastian Pokutta , Kartikey Sharma

We consider random-design linear prediction and related questions on the lower tail of random matrices. It is known that, under boundedness constraints, the minimax risk is of order $d/n$ in dimension $d$ with $n$ samples. Here, we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Jaouad Mourtada

Factor analysis, a classical multivariate statistical technique is popularly used as a fundamental tool for dimensionality reduction in statistics, econometrics and data science. Estimation is often carried out via the Maximum Likelihood…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Koulik Khamaru , Rahul Mazumder

We propose a theoretical framework for the problem of learning a real-valued function which meets fairness requirements. This framework is built upon the notion of $\alpha$-relative (fairness) improvement of the regression function which we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Evgenii Chzhen , Nicolas Schreuder

We present a novel data-driven strategy to choose the hyperparameter $k$ in the $k$-NN regression estimator without using any hold-out data. We treat the problem of choosing the hyperparameter as an iterative procedure (over $k$) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-18 Yaroslav Averyanov , Alain Celisse

In this paper, we study a new notion of scaled minimaxity for sparse estimation in high-dimensional linear regression model. We present more optimistic lower bounds than the one given by the classical minimax theory and hence improve on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Mohamed Ndaoud

Machine learning models have traditionally been developed under the assumption that the training and test distributions match exactly. However, recent success in few-shot learning and related problems are encouraging signs that these models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-15 James Lucas , Mengye Ren , Irene Kameni , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) in which the transition probabilities and rewards belong to an uncertainty set parametrized by a collection of random variables. The probability distributions for these random parameters are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

We study a natural extension of classical empirical risk minimization, where the hypothesis space is a random subspace of a given space. In particular, we consider possibly data dependent subspaces spanned by a random subset of the data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-09 Andrea Della Vecchia , Ernesto De Vito , Lorenzo Rosasco

In a decision-theoretic framework, the minimax lower bound provides the worst-case performance of estimators relative to a given class of statistical models. For parametric and semiparametric models, the H\'{a}jek--Le Cam local asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Kenta Takatsu , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla
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