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In this paper we give sufficient conditions guaranteeing the validity of the well-known minimax theorem for the lower Snell envelope with respect to a family of absolutely continuous probability measures. Such minimax results play an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

We study contextual dynamic pricing, where a decision maker posts personalized prices based on observable contexts and receives binary purchase feedback indicating whether the customer's valuation exceeds the price. Each valuation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Xueping Gong , Wei You , Jiheng Zhang

The paper studies coincidence points of parameterized set-valued mappings (multifunctions), which provide an extended framework to cover several important topics in variational analysis and optimization that include the existence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Aram V. Arutyunov , Boris S. Mordukhovich , Sergey E. Zhukovskiy

Biased stochastic estimators, such as finite-differences for noisy gradient estimation, often contain parameters that need to be properly chosen to balance impacts from the bias and the variance. While the optimal order of these parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang , Xuhui Zhang

For frequentist settings in which parameter randomness represents variability rather than uncertainty, the ideal measure of the support for one hypothesis over another is the difference in the posterior and prior log odds. For situations in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-03 David R. Bickel

Many algorithms in machine learning and computational geometry require, as input, the intrinsic dimension of the manifold that supports the probability distribution of the data. This parameter is rarely known and therefore has to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Jisu Kim , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

We develop a minimax theory for operator learning, where the goal is to estimate an unknown operator between separable Hilbert spaces from finitely many noisy input-output samples. For uniformly bounded Lipschitz operators, we prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Ben Adcock , Gregor Maier , Rahul Parhi

Many causal estimands, such as average treatment effects under unconfoundedness, can be written as continuous linear functionals of an unknown regression function. We study a weighting estimator that sets weights by a minimax procedure:…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Jing Kong

A general lower bound is developed for the minimax risk when estimating an arbitrary functional. The bound is based on testing two composite hypotheses and is shown to be effective in estimating the nonsmooth functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-17 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

Missing values arise in most real-world data sets due to the aggregation of multiple sources and intrinsically missing information (sensor failure, unanswered questions in surveys...). In fact, the very nature of missing values usually…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet

Lower bounds involving $f$-divergences between the underlying probability measures are proved for the minimax risk in estimation problems. Our proofs just use simple convexity facts. Special cases and straightforward corollaries of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Adityanand Guntuboyina

We consider sub-critical configuration models and show that the central limit theorem for any additive statistic holds when the statistics satisfies a fourth moment assumption, a variance lower bound and the degree sequence of graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Siva Athreya , D. Yogeshwaran

We consider a broad class of permutation invariant statistical problems by extending the standard decision theoretic definition to allow also selective inference tasks, where the target is specified only after seeing the data. For any such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Asaf Weinstein

This paper provides a general technique for lower bounding the Bayes risk of statistical estimation, applicable to arbitrary loss functions and arbitrary prior distributions. A lower bound on the Bayes risk not only serves as a lower bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-26 Xi Chen , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Yuchen Zhang

Classical mathematical statistics deals with models that are parametrized by a Euclidean, i.e. finite dimensional, parameter. Quite often such models have been and still are chosen in practical situations for their mathematical simplicity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Chris A. J. Klaassen

Optimal estimation and inference for both the minimizer and minimum of a convex regression function under the white noise and nonparametric regression models are studied in a nonasymptotic local minimax framework, where the performance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 T. Tony Cai , Ran Chen , Yuancheng Zhu

Many researchers have applied classical statistical decision theory to evaluate treatment choices and learn optimal policies. However, because this framework is based solely on realized outcomes under chosen decisions and ignores…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Benedikt Koch , Kosuke Imai

I consider a class of statistical decision problems in which the policymaker must decide between two policies to maximize social welfare (e.g., the population mean of an outcome) based on a finite sample. The framework introduced in this…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Kohei Yata

The concept of a minimax classifier is well-established in statistical decision theory, but its implementation via neural networks remains challenging, particularly in scenarios with imbalanced training data having a limited number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Hansung Choi , Daewon Seo

Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Paul Escande