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In typical high dimensional statistical inference problems, confidence intervals and hypothesis tests are performed for a low dimensional subset of model parameters under the assumption that the parameters of interest are unconstrained.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Ming Yu , Varun Gupta , Mladen Kolar

Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

In contingency table analysis, one is interested in testing whether a model of interest (e.g., the independent or symmetry model) holds using goodness-of-fit tests. When the null hypothesis where the model is true is rejected, the interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Tomotaka Momozaki , Koji Cho , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Sadao Tomizawa

This paper proposes several tests of restricted specification in nonparametric instrumental regression. Based on series estimators, test statistics are established that allow for tests of the general model against a parametric or…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-24 Christoph Breunig

This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Z Zhang , X Hu , C Lu , T Liu

Confidence calibration of classification models is a technique to estimate the true posterior probability of the predicted class, which is critical for ensuring reliable decision-making in practical applications. Existing confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Jinzong Dong , Zhaohui Jiang , Dong Pan , Haoyang Yu

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are a popular surrogate modelling method that takes advantage of the properties of PCE, the sparsity-of-effects principle, and powerful sparse regression solvers to approximate computer models with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Estimating the generalization error (GE) of machine learning models is fundamental, with resampling methods being the most common approach. However, in non-standard settings, particularly those where observations are not independently and…

This paper addresses the problem of data-driven computation of controllers that are correct by design for safety-critical systems and can provably satisfy (complex) functional requirements. With a focus on continuous-space stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-11 Oliver Schön , Birgit van Huijgevoort , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

This paper, which is Part 1 of a two-part paper series, considers a simulation-based inference with learned summary statistics, in which such a learned summary statistic serves as an empirical-likelihood with ameliorative effects in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Getachew K. Befekadu

Conditional independence tests (CIT) are widely used for causal discovery and feature selection. Even with false discovery rate (FDR) control procedures, they often fail to provide frequentist guarantees in practice. We highlight two common…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Milleno Pan , Antoine de Mathelin , Wesley Tansey

The deployment of machine learning classifiers in high-stakes domains requires well-calibrated confidence scores for model predictions. In this paper we introduce the notion of variable-based calibration to characterize calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Markelle Kelly , Padhraic Smyth

A powerful approach to detecting erroneous data is to check which potentially dirty data records are incompatible with a user's domain knowledge. Previous approaches allow the user to specify domain knowledge in the form of logical…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Jing Nathan Yan , Oliver Schulte , Jiannan Wang , Reynold Cheng

Machine learning algorithms in socially sensitive domains (e.g., credit decisions) often focus on equalizing predictive outcomes. However, satisfying these metrics does not guarantee that models use the same reasoning for different groups.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Gideon Popoola , John Sheppard

This paper considers errors-in-variables models in a high-dimensional setting where the number of covariates can be much larger than the sample size, and there are only a small number of non-zero covariates. The presence of measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-03 Linh Nghiem , Cornelis Potgieter

When deploying machine learning estimators in science and engineering (SAE) domains, it is critical to avoid failed estimations that can have disastrous consequences, e.g., in aero engine design. This work focuses on detecting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Ruiyuan Kang , Tingting Mu , Panos Liatsis , Dimitrios C. Kyritsis

When assessing the quality of prediction models in machine learning, confidence intervals (CIs) for the generalization error, which measures predictive performance, are a crucial tool. Luckily, there exist many methods for computing such…

Previous work has suggested that the structural restrictions of graphs from classes of bounded expansion--locally dense pockets in a globally sparse graph--naturally coincide with common properties of real-world networks such as clustering…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Michael P. O'Brien , Blair D. Sullivan

Considering the increasing size of available data, the need for statistical methods that control the finite sample bias is growing. This is mainly due to the frequent settings where the number of variables is large and allowed to increase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser