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The thesis is composed of three parts. Part I introduces the mathematical and statistical tools that are relevant for the study of dependences, as well as statistical tests of Goodness-of-fit for empirical probability distributions. I…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-20 Rémy Chicheportiche

Beta regression models provide an adequate approach for modeling continuous outcomes limited to the interval (0,1). This paper deals with an extension of beta regression models that allow for explanatory variables to be measured with error.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-11 Jalmar M. F. Carrasco , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

We introduce CopFITi, a copula model for probabilistic forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS). Our model combines the expressivity of normalizing flows for univariate marginals with the consistency and flexibility of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Christian Klötergens , Tom Hanika , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi

We develop a new longitudinal count data regression model that accounts for zero-inflation and spatio-temporal correlation across responses. This project is motivated by an analysis of Iowa Fluoride Study (IFS) data, a longitudinal cohort…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Anish Mukherjee , Jeremy T. Gaskins , Shoumi Sarkar , Steven Levy , Somnath Datta

We propose a highly flexible distributional copula regression model for bivariate time-to-event data in the presence of right-censoring. The joint survival function of the response is constructed using parametric copulas, allowing for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-23 Guillermo Briseno-Sanchez , Nadja Klein , Andreas Groll , Andreas Mayr

We present a joint copula-based model for insurance claims and sizes. It uses bivariate copulae to accommodate for the dependence between these quantities. We derive the general distribution of the policy loss without the restrictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Nicole Kraemer , Eike C. Brechmann , Daniel Silvestrini , Claudia Czado

There is a growing need for flexible general frameworks that integrate individual-level data with external summary information for improved statistical inference. External information relevant for a risk prediction model may come in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Tian Gu , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Bhramar Mukherjee

We consider the estimation of approximate factor models for time series data, where strong serial and cross-sectional correlations amongst the idiosyncratic component are present. This setting comes up naturally in many applications, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

This paper studies identification and inference in transformation models with endogenous censoring. Many kinds of duration models, such as the accelerated failure time model, proportional hazard model, and mixed proportional hazard model,…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-05 Shosei Sakaguchi

This paper builds on recent research that focuses on regression modeling of continuous bounded data, such as proportions measured on a continuous scale. Specifically, it deals with beta regression models with mixed effects from a Bayesian…

To draw real-world evidence about the comparative effectiveness of multiple time-varying treatments on patient survival, we develop a joint marginal structural survival model and a novel weighting strategy to account for time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Himanshu Joshi , Erick Scott , Fan Li

Two-phase sampling designs have been widely adopted in epidemiological studies to reduce costs when measuring certain biomarkers is prohibitively expensive. Under these designs, investigators commonly relate survival outcomes to risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Jooho Kim , Yei Eun Shin

In this work we introduce the class of beta autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models for continuous random variables taking values in the continuous unit interval $(0,1)$. The proposed model accommodates a set of…

A new modeling framework for bipartite social networks arising from a sequence of partially time-ordered relational events is proposed. We directly model the joint distribution of the binary variables indicating if each single actor is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Francesco Bartolucci , Antonietta Mira , Stefano Peluso

Combining information from multiple samples is often needed in biomedical and economic studies, but the differences between these samples must be appropriately taken into account in the analysis of the combined data. We study estimation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Heng Shu , Zhiqiang Tan

We discuss the connection between information and copula theories by showing that a copula can be employed to decompose the information content of a multivariate distribution into marginal and dependence components, with the latter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-26 Rafael S. Calsaverini , Renato Vicente

Consider a linear regression model with n-dimensional response vector, p-dimensional regression parameter beta and independent normally distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Dilshani Tissera

In prevalent cohort studies where subjects are recruited at a cross-section, the time to an event may be subject to length-biased sampling, with the observed data being either the forward recurrence time, or the backward recurrence time, or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Pourab Roy , Jason P. Fine , Michael R. Kosorok

This paper is concerned with inference about low-dimensional components of a high-dimensional parameter vector $\beta^0$ which is identified through instrumental variables. We allow for eigenvalues of the expected outer product of included…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-05 Christoph Breunig , Enno Mammen , Anna Simoni

Functional principal component analysis has been shown to be invaluable for revealing variation modes of longitudinal outcomes, which serves as important building blocks for forecasting and model building. Decades of research have advanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Peijun Sang , Dehan Kong , Shu Yang
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