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Robins 1997 introduced marginal structural models (MSMs), a general class of counterfactual models for the joint effects of time-varying treatment regimes in complex longitudinal studies subject to time-varying confounding. In his work,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Haben Michael , Yifan Cui , Scott Lorch , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Consider a survival time T that is subject to random right censoring, and suppose that T is stochastically dependent on the censoring time C. We are interested in the marginal distribution of T. This situation is often encountered in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-15 Claudia Czado , Ingrid Van Keilegom

A novel copula-based multivariate panel ordinal model is developed to estimate structural relations among components of well-being. Each ordinal time-series is modelled using a copula-based Markov model to relate the marginal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-02 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos , Emmanouil Mentzakis

This article considers the joint modeling of longitudinal covariates and partly-interval censored time-to-event data. Longitudinal time-varying covariates play a crucial role in obtaining accurate clinically relevant predictions using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-05 Annabel Webb , Nan Zou , Serigne Lo , Jun Ma

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and incremental net benefit (INB) are widely used for cost-effectiveness analysis. We develop methods for estimation and inference for the ICER and INB which use the semiparametric stratified…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Polyna Khudyakov , Li Xu , Ce Yang , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang

The success of large-scale models in recent years has increased the importance of statistical models with numerous parameters. Several studies have analyzed over-parameterized linear models with high-dimensional data, which may not be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Shogo Nakakita , Masaaki Imaizumi

Analysis of multivariate time series is a common problem in areas like finance and economics. The classical tool for this purpose are vector autoregressive models. These however are limited to the modeling of linear and symmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-05 Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado

Population adjustment methods such as matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) are increasingly used to compare marginal treatment effects when there are cross-trial differences in effect modifiers and limited patient-level data. MAIC…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

Regression problems with bounded continuous outcomes frequently arise in real-world statistical and machine learning applications, such as the analysis of rates and proportions. A central challenge in this setting is predicting a response…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-21 Zhanli Wu , Fabrizio Leisen , F. Javier Rubio

In this paper we consider a time-to-event variable $T$ that is subject to random right censoring, and we assume that the censoring time $C$ is stochastically dependent on $T$ and that there is a positive probability of not observing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-14 Morine Delhelle , Ingrid Van Keilegom

We study the multiplicative hazards model with intermittently observed longitudinal covariates and time-varying coefficients. For such models, the existing ad hoc approach, such as the last value carried forward, is biased. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Zhuowei Sun , Hongyuan Cao

Factor copula models for item response data are more interpretable and fit better than (truncated) vine copula models when dependence can be explained through latent variables, but are not robust to violations of conditional independence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Sayed H. Kadhem , Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Joint Bayesian factor models are popular for characterizing relationships between multivariate correlated predictors and a response variable. Standard models assume that all variables, including both the predictors and the response, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Glenn Palmer , David B. Dunson

We consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta=(beta_1,...,beta_p) and independent and identically N(0,sigma^2) distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

Estimating the effects of interventions on patient outcome is one of the key aspects of personalized medicine. Their inference is often challenged by the fact that the training data comprises only the outcome for the administered treatment,…

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in numerous real-world applications, including financial analysis, energy management, and traffic planning. While Transformer-based architectures have gained popularity for this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Pourya Zamanvaziri , Amirhossein Sadr , Aida Pakniyat , Dara Rahmati

Longitudinal and survival sub-models are two building blocks for joint modelling of longitudinal and time to event data. Extensive research indicates separate analysis of these two processes could result in biased outputs due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

In this paper we present an application of the use of autocopulas for modelling financial time series showing serial dependencies that are not necessarily linear. The approach presented here is semi-parametric in that it is characterized by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-20 Antony Ware , Ilnaz Asadzadeh

Beta coefficients for linear regression models represent the ideal form of an interpretable feature effect. However, for non-linear models and especially generalized linear models, the estimated coefficients cannot be interpreted as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-24 Christian A. Scholbeck , Giuseppe Casalicchio , Christoph Molnar , Bernd Bischl , Christian Heumann

In the statistical literature, a number of methods have been proposed to ensure valid inference about marginal effects of variables on a longitudinal outcome in settings with irregular monitoring times. However, the potential biases due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Janie Coulombe , Erica E M Moodie , Robert W Platt