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When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Learning-based methods commonly treat state estimation in robotics as a sequence modeling problem. While this paradigm can be effective at maximizing end-to-end performance, models are often difficult to interpret and expensive to train,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Lennart Röstel , Berthold Bäuml

Recent advances in incorporating neural networks into particle filters provide the desired flexibility to apply particle filters in large-scale real-world applications. The dynamic and measurement models in this framework are learnable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Hao Wen , Xiongjie Chen , Georgios Papagiannis , Conghui Hu , Yunpeng Li

Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

Particle filters flexibly represent multiple posterior modes nonparametrically, via a collection of weighted samples, but have classically been applied to tracking problems with known dynamics and observation likelihoods. Such generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Ali Younis , Erik Sudderth

State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yuxiong Gao , Wentao Li , Rong Chen

The ability to track a moving vehicle is of crucial importance in numerous applications. The task has often been approached by the importance sampling technique of particle filters due to its ability to model non-linear and non-Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Kira Kempinska , John Shawe-Taylor

We consider the problem of learning observation models for robot state estimation with incremental non-differentiable optimizers in the loop. Convergence to the correct belief over the robot state is heavily dependent on a proper tuning of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Mohamad Qadri , Michael Kaess

Particle filters are a frequent choice for inference tasks in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. They can either be used for state inference by approximating the filtering distribution or for parameter inference by approximating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Domonkos Csuzdi , Olivér Törő , Tamás Bécsi

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of particle filtering methods that use neural networks to construct and learn parametric state-space models. In real-world applications, both the state dynamics and measurements can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-04 Wenhan Li , Xiongjie Chen , Wenwu Wang , Víctor Elvira , Yunpeng Li

For challenging state estimation problems arising in domains like vision and robotics, particle-based representations attractively enable temporal reasoning about multiple posterior modes. Particle smoothers offer the potential for more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Ali Younis , Erik B. Sudderth

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

Poyiadjis et al. (2011) show how particle methods can be used to estimate both the score and the observed information matrix for state space models. These methods either suffer from a computational cost that is quadratic in the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-07 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Probabilistic (or Bayesian) modeling and learning offers interesting possibilities for systematic representation of uncertainty using probability theory. However, probabilistic learning often leads to computationally challenging problems.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

We consider the problem of approximate belief-state monitoring using particle filtering for the purposes of implementing a policy for a partially-observable Markov decision process (POMDP). While particle filtering has become a widely-used…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Pascal Poupart , Luis E. Ortiz , Craig Boutilier

Autonomous vehicles need to model the behavior of surrounding human driven vehicles to be safe and efficient traffic participants. Existing approaches to modeling human driving behavior have relied on both data-driven and rule-based…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Raunak Bhattacharyya , Soyeon Jung , Liam Kruse , Ransalu Senanayake , Mykel Kochenderfer

Particle learning (PL) provides state filtering, sequential parameter learning and smoothing in a general class of state space models. Our approach extends existing particle methods by incorporating the estimation of static parameters via a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-05 Carlos M. Carvalho , Michael S. Johannes , Hedibert F. Lopes , Nicholas G. Polson

Accurate estimation of the states of a nonlinear dynamical system is crucial for their design, synthesis, and analysis. Particle filters are estimators constructed by simulating trajectories from a sampling distribution and averaging them…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-03 Fernando Gama , Nicolas Zilberstein , Martin Sevilla , Richard Baraniuk , Santiago Segarra

In many applications, a state-space model depends on a parameter which needs to be inferred from a data set. Quite often, it is necessary to perform the parameter inference online. In the maximum likelihood approach, this can be done using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Vladislav Z. B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

We consider the problem of learning error covariance matrices for robotic state estimation. The convergence of a state estimator to the correct belief over the robot state is dependent on the proper tuning of noise models. During inference,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Mohamad Qadri , Zachary Manchester , Michael Kaess
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