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Learning the influence structure of multiple time series data is of great interest to many disciplines. This paper studies the problem of recovering the causal structure in network of multivariate linear Hawkes processes. In such processes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang , Kushagra Singhal

This paper analyzes the convergence rates of the {\it Frank-Wolfe } method for solving convex constrained multiobjective optimization. We establish improved convergence rates under different assumptions on the objective function, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Douglas S. Gonçalves , Max L. N. Gonçalves , Jefferson G. Melo

The Hawkes process (HP) has been widely applied to modeling self-exciting events including neuron spikes, earthquakes and tweets. To avoid designing parametric triggering kernel and to be able to quantify the prediction confidence, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Rui Zhang , Christian Walder , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu

In psychological and educational computer-based multidimensional tests, latent speed, a rate of the amount of labor performed on the items with respect to time, may also be multidimensional. To capture the multidimensionality of latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Peida Zhan , Hong Jiao , Wen-Chung Wang , Kaiwen Man

The purpose of this survey is to serve both as a gentle introduction and a coherent overview of state-of-the-art Frank--Wolfe algorithms, also called conditional gradient algorithms, for function minimization. These algorithms are…

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

To operate process engineering systems in a safe and reliable manner, predictive models are often used in decision making. In many cases, these are mechanistic first principles models which aim to accurately describe the process. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Timur Bikmukhametov , Johannes Jäschke

Classic estimation methods for Hawkes processes rely on the assumption that observed event times are indeed a realisation of a Hawkes process, without considering any potential perturbation of the model. However, in practice, observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Anna Bonnet , Felix Cheysson , Miguel Martinez Herrera , Maxime Sangnier

In this paper, we build a model for biological neural nets where the activity of the network is described by Hawkes processes having a variable length memory. The particularity of this paper is to deal with an infinite number of components.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-18 Pierre Hodara , Eva Löcherbach

As edge computing capabilities increase, model learning deployments in diverse edge environments have emerged. In experimental design networks, introduced recently, network routing and rate allocation are designed to aid the transfer of…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Yuanyuan Li , Lili Su , Carlee Joe-Wong , Edmund Yeh , Stratis Ioannidis

The Frank-Wolfe method solves smooth constrained convex optimization problems at a generic sublinear rate of $\mathcal{O}(1/T)$, and it (or its variants) enjoys accelerated convergence rates for two fundamental classes of constraints:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Thomas Kerdreux , Alexandre d'Aspremont , Sebastian Pokutta

We propose a novel modeling framework for time-evolving networks allowing for long-term dependence in network features that update in continuous time. Dynamic network growth is functionally parameterized via the conditional intensity of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Duncan A Clark , Conor J. Kresin , Charlotte M. Jones-Todd

We introduce a few variants on Frank-Wolfe style algorithms suitable for large scale optimization. We show how to modify the standard Frank-Wolfe algorithm using stochastic gradients, approximate subproblem solutions, and sketched decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-17 Lijun Ding , Madeleine Udell

Animal acoustic communication often exhibits temporal dependence, with calls triggering or suppressing subsequent calls within and across call types, individuals, or species. While Hawkes processes provide a natural framework for modeling…

This paper studies nonparametric estimation of parameters of multivariate Hawkes processes. We consider the Bayesian setting and derive posterior concentration rates. First rates are derived for L1-metrics for stochastic intensities of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Sophie Donnet , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

Over the past few decades, the Hawkes process has become a popular framework for modeling temporal events thanks to its flexibility to capture different dependency structures. The objective of this work is to model call sequences emitted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Anna Bonnet , Stéphane Robin

We consider hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) for a dynamic description of the traffic behavior in road networks. These equations are coupled to a Hawkes process that models traffic accidents taking into account their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger

Hawkes processes have seen a number of applications in finance, due to their ability to capture event clustering behaviour typically observed in financial systems. Given a calibrated Hawkes process, of concern is the statistical fit to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-18 Roger Martins , Dieter Hendricks

Differentiable optimization has received a significant amount of attention due to its foundational role in the domain of machine learning based on neural networks. This paper proposes a differentiable layer, named Differentiable Frank-Wolfe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-01 Zixuan Liu , Liu Liu , Xueqian Wang , Peilin Zhao

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu
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