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We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a multivariate stationary dicrete-time Gaussian random process based on a finite length observation. Using information-theoretic methods, we derive a lower…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Gabor Hannak , Alexander Jung , Norbert Goertz

Many environments, such as unvisited planetary surfaces and oceanic regions, remain unexplored due to a lack of prior knowledge. Autonomous vehicles must sample upon arrival, process data, and either transmit findings to a teleoperator or…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Ashten Akemoto , Frances Zhu

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

Learning-based methods have been successful in solving complex control tasks without significant prior knowledge about the system. However, these methods typically do not provide any safety guarantees, which prevents their use in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Torsten Koller , Felix Berkenkamp , Matteo Turchetta , Andreas Krause

We develop a method for the evaluation of extreme event statistics associated with nonlinear dynamical systems, using a small number of samples. From an initial dataset of design points, we formulate a sequential strategy that provides the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

Gaussian processes (GPs) enable principled computation of model uncertainty, making them attractive for safety-critical applications. Such scenarios demand that GP decisions are not only accurate, but also robust to perturbations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Andrea Patane , Arno Blaas , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Stephen Roberts , Marta Kwiatkowska

Is there a way to design powerful AI systems based on machine learning methods that would satisfy probabilistic safety guarantees? With the long-term goal of obtaining a probabilistic guarantee that would apply in every context, we consider…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Yoshua Bengio , Michael K. Cohen , Nikolay Malkin , Matt MacDermott , Damiano Fornasiere , Pietro Greiner , Younesse Kaddar

Gaussian Process (GP) models have also become extremely useful for optimization under uncertainty algorithms, especially where the objective functions are costly to compute. Yet, the more classical methods usually adopt strategies that, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Nishant Gadde

In this paper, we consider the challenge of maximizing an unknown function f for which evaluations are noisy and are acquired with high cost. An iterative procedure uses the previous measures to actively select the next estimation of f…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-03 Emile Contal , David Buffoni , Alexandre Robicquet , Nicolas Vayatis

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used metamodels for approximating expensive computer simulations, particularly in engineering design and spatial prediction. However, their performance can deteriorate significantly when covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Ayumi Mutoh , Junoh Heo

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is shown to be effective for learning unknown dynamics, enabling efficient and safety-aware control strategies across diverse applications. However, existing GP-based model predictive control (GP-MPC)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-13 Manish Prajapat , Johannes Köhler , Amon Lahr , Andreas Krause , Melanie N. Zeilinger

A new methodology for model determination in decomposable graphical Gaussian models is developed. The Bayesian paradigm is used and, for each given graph, a hyper inverse Wishart prior distribution on the covariance matrix is considered.…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Sophie Donnet , Jean-Michel Marin

Adaptive information sampling approaches enable efficient selection of mobile robot's waypoints through which accurate sensing and mapping of a physical process, such as the radiation or field intensity, can be obtained. This paper analyzes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Aiman Munir , Ramviyas Parasuraman

Gaussian graphical models with sparsity in the inverse covariance matrix are of significant interest in many modern applications. For the problem of recovering the graphical structure, information criteria provide useful optimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Rina Foygel , Mathias Drton

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a popular nonparametric Bayesian method that provides predictive uncertainty estimates and is widely used in safety-critical applications. While prior research has introduced various uncertainty bounds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Junyi Liu , Stanley Kok

Efficient robotic exploration of unknown, sensor limited, global-information-deficient environments poses unique challenges to path planning algorithms. In these difficult environments, no deterministic guarantees on path completion and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-01 Alexander Ivanov , Mark Campbell

In environments with uncertain dynamics exploration is necessary to learn how to perform well. Existing reinforcement learning algorithms provide strong exploration guarantees, but they tend to rely on an ergodicity assumption. The essence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-10 Teodor Mihai Moldovan , Pieter Abbeel

Recent trends envisage robots being deployed in areas deemed dangerous to humans, such as buildings with gas and radiation leaks. In such situations, the model of the underlying hazardous process might be unknown to the agent a priori,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Fernando S. Barbosa , Bruno Lacerda , Paul Duckworth , Jana Tumova , Nick Hawes