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We have investigated how uncertainties in the estimation of the detection efficiency affect the 90% confidence intervals in the unified approach for constructing confidence intervals. The study has been conducted for experiments where the…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2009-06-10 E. S. Smith

As large language models (LLMs) continue to evolve, understanding and quantifying the uncertainty in their predictions is critical for enhancing application credibility. However, the existing literature relevant to LLM uncertainty…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Hsiu-Yuan Huang , Yutong Yang , Zhaoxi Zhang , Sanwoo Lee , Yunfang Wu

We focus on using the predictive uncertainty signal calculated by Bayesian neural networks to guide learning in the self-same task the model is being trained on. Not opting for costly Monte Carlo sampling of weights, we propagate the…

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz

To address the challenge of quantifying uncertainty in the outputs generated by language models, we propose a novel measure of semantic uncertainty, semantic spectral entropy, that is statistically consistent under mild assumptions. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Yi Liu

Uncertainty estimation for unlabeled data is crucial to active learning. With a deep neural network employed as the backbone model, the data selection process is highly challenging due to the potential over-confidence of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xingjian Li , Pengkun Yang , Yangcheng Gu , Xueying Zhan , Tianyang Wang , Min Xu , Chengzhong Xu

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various tasks. However, these models could offer biased, hallucinated, or non-factual responses camouflaged by their fluency and realistic appearance. Uncertainty…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Zhiqiu Xia , Jinxuan Xu , Yuqian Zhang , Hang Liu

In this paper, we visualize and quantify the predictive uncertainty of gradient-based post hoc visual explanations for neural networks. Predictive uncertainty refers to the variability in the network predictions under perturbations to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Mohit Prabhushankar , Ghassan AlRegib

Neural network based approaches to speech enhancement have shown to be particularly powerful, being able to leverage a data-driven approach to result in a significant performance gain versus other approaches. Such approaches are reliant on…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-12-15 George Close , William Ravenscroft , Thomas Hain , Stefan Goetze

Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) often produce plausible but unreliable outputs, making robust uncertainty estimation essential. Recent work on semantic uncertainty estimates relies on external models to cluster multiple sampled…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Joseph Hoche , Andrei Bursuc , David Brellmann , Gilles Louppe , Pavel Izmailov , Angela Yao , Gianni Franchi

Non-Gaussian impulsive noise (IN) with memory exists in many practical applications. When it is mixed with white Gaussian noise (WGN), the resultant mixed noise will be bursty. The performance of communication systems will degrade…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-12 Tianfu Qi , Jun Wang

Speech utterances recorded under differing conditions exhibit varying degrees of confidence in their embedding estimates, i.e., uncertainty, even if they are extracted using the same neural network. This paper aims to incorporate the…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-24 Qiongqiong Wang , Kong Aik Lee , Tianchi Liu

This paper presents a general and efficient framework for probabilistic inference and learning from arbitrary uncertain information. It exploits the calculation properties of finite mixture models, conjugate families and factorization. Both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-19 M. C. Garrido , P. E. Lopez-de-Teruel , A. Ruiz

Uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying reasoning language models, yet remains poorly understood under extended chain-of-thought reasoning. We study parallel sampling as a fully black-box approach using verbalized confidence and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Maksym Del , Markus Kängsepp , Marharyta Domnich , Ardi Tampuu , Lisa Yankovskaya , Meelis Kull , Mark Fishel

For enhancing noisy signals, machine-learning based single-channel speech enhancement schemes exploit prior knowledge about typical speech spectral structures. To ensure a good generalization and to meet requirements in terms of…

Sound · Computer Science 2018-01-17 Robert Rehr , Timo Gerkmann

Uncertainty quantification is an important and challenging problem in deep learning. Previous methods rely on dropout layers which are not present in modern deep architectures or batch normalization which is sensitive to batch sizes. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Lukasz Wandzik , Raul Vicente Garcia , Jörg Krüger

This research is an effort to present an effective approach to enhance text-independent speaker identification performance in emotional talking environments based on novel classifier called cascaded Gaussian Mixture Model-Deep Neural…

Sound · Computer Science 2018-10-12 Ismail Shahin , Ali Bou Nassif , Shibani Hamsa

Robust quantification of predictive uncertainty is critical for understanding factors that drive weather and climate outcomes. Ensembles provide predictive uncertainty estimates and can be decomposed physically, but both physics and machine…

In this work, we build upon our previous publication and use diffusion-based generative models for speech enhancement. We present a detailed overview of the diffusion process that is based on a stochastic differential equation and delve…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Julius Richter , Simon Welker , Jean-Marie Lemercier , Bunlong Lay , Timo Gerkmann
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