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In recent years, there has been a growing interest in statistical methods that exhibit robust performance under distribution changes between training and test data. While most of the related research focuses on point predictions with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Alexander Henzi , Xinwei Shen , Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann

Analytical modeling of field-assisted molecular communication under dynamic electric fields is fundamentally challenging due to the coupling between stochastic transport and complex boundary geometries, which renders conventional partial…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Po-Chun Chou , Yen-Chi Lee , Chun-An Yang , Chia-Han Lee , Ping-Cheng Yeh

We study semi-parametric estimation of the population mean when data is observed missing at random (MAR) in the $n < p$ "inconsistency regime", in which neither the outcome model nor the propensity/missingness model can be estimated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Michael Celentano , Martin J. Wainwright

We introduce and analyse a new nonparametric estimator of a multi-dimensional density. Our smooth projection estimator (SPE) is defined by a least squares projection of the sample onto an infinite dimensional mixture class via an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 Heather Battey , Han Liu

Human motion capture with sparse inertial sensors has gained significant attention recently. However, existing methods almost exclusively rely on a template adult body shape to model the training data, which poses challenges when…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Lu Yin , Ziying Shi , Yinghao Wu , Xinyu Yi , Feng Xu , Shihui Guo

We revisit the classical problem of estimating an unknown distribution from its samples by fitting a mixture model that minimizes cross-entropy loss. Framing the task as a stochastic convex optimization problem over the space of $ M…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Mohammadreza Ahmadypour , Tara Javidi , Farinaz Koushanfar

In the framework of solid mechanics, the task of deriving material parameters from experimental data has recently re-emerged with the progress in full-field measurement capabilities and the renewed advances of machine learning. In this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Ulrich Römer , Stefan Hartmann , Jendrik-Alexander Tröger , David Anton , Henning Wessels , Moritz Flaschel , Laura De Lorenzis

The most fundamental problem in statistics is the inference of an unknown probability distribution from a finite number of samples. For a specific observed data set, answers to the following questions would be desirable: (1) Estimation:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Ali Kinkhabwala

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

We consider the inverse problem of estimating an unknown function $u$ from noisy measurements $y$ of a known, possibly nonlinear, map $\mathcal{G}$ applied to $u$. We adopt a Bayesian approach to the problem and work in a setting where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Masoumeh Dashti , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart , Jochen Voss

In an attempt to provide an answer to the increasing criticism against p-values and to bridge the gap between statistical inference and prediction modelling, we introduce the probability of improved prediction (PIP). In general, the PIP is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-28 Olivier Thas , Stijn Jaspers

The study of multimodality has garnered significant interest in fields where the analysis of interactions among multiple information sources can enhance predictive modeling, data fusion, and interpretability. Partial information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Wenyuan Zhao , Adithya Balachandran , Chao Tian , Paul Pu Liang

While nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations arise naturally in spatiotemporal modeling, inference for such systems often faces two major challenges: sparse noisy data and ill-posedness of the inverse problem of parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Fei Lu , Nils Weitzel , Adam H. Monahan

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the ratio $\frac{q}{p}$ where $p$ is a density function and $q$ is another density, or, more generally an arbitrary function. Knowing or approximating this ratio is needed in various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-26 Qichao Que , Mikhail Belkin

In this work, we investigate the regularized solutions and their finite element solutions to the inverse source problems governed by partial differential equations, and establish the stochastic convergence and optimal finite element…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Zhiming Chen , Wenlong Zhang , Jun Zou

A fundamental problem in modern supervised learning is computing reliable conditional prediction intervals in high-dimensional settings: existing methods often rely on restrictive modelling assumptions, do not scale as predictor dimension…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Daniel Salnikov , Dan Leonte , Kevin Michalewicz

Semi-Infinite Programming (SIP) has emerged as a powerful framework for modeling problems with infinite constraints, however, its theoretical development in the context of nonconvex and large-scale optimization remains limited. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Cody Melcher , Zeinab Alizadeh , Lindsey Hiett , Afrooz Jalilzadeh , Erfan Yazdandoost Hamedani

This paper considers the state estimation problem for nonlinear dynamic systems with unknown but bounded noises. Set membership filter (SMF) is a popular algorithm to solve this problem. In the set membership setting, we investigate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Xiaowei Li , Xuqi Zhang , Zhiguo Wang , Xiaojing Shen

The problem of estimating a random vector x from noisy linear measurements y = A x + w with unknown parameters on the distributions of x and w, which must also be learned, arises in a wide range of statistical learning and linear inverse…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Alyson K. Fletcher , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Philip Schniter , Sundeep Rangan

Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You