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Urban flow prediction is a classic spatial-temporal forecasting task that estimates the amount of future traffic flow for a given location. Though models represented by Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have established…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Haiyang Jiang , Tong Chen , Wentao Zhang , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Yuan Yuan , Yong Li , Lizhen Cui

Probabilistic and set-based methods are two approaches for model invalidation, parameter and state estimation. Both classes of methods use different types of data, i.e. deterministic or probabilistic data, which allow different statements…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-28 Stefan Streif , Didier Henrion , Rolf Findeisen

Sample-based Bayesian inference provides a route to uncertainty quantification in the geosciences, and inverse problems in general, though is very computationally demanding in the naive form that requires simulating an accurate computer…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-12 Tiangang Cui , Colin Fox , Michael J O'Sullivan

In ill-posed dynamic inverse problems expected spatial features and temporal correlation between frames can be leveraged to improve the quality of the computed solution, in particular when the available data are limited and the…

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

Inverse optimization is the problem of determining the values of missing input parameters for an associated forward problem that are closest to given estimates and that will make a given target vector optimal. This study is concerned with…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Aykut Bulut , Ted K. Ralphs

Controllers for autonomous systems that operate in safety-critical settings must account for stochastic disturbances. Such disturbances are often modelled as process noise, and common assumptions are that the underlying distributions are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Alessandro Abate , Nils Jansen , David Parker , Hasan A. Poonawala , Marielle Stoelinga

Electromagnetic Inverse Scattering Problems (EISP) seek to reconstruct relative permittivity from scattered fields and are fundamental to applications like medical imaging. This inverse process is inherently ill-posed and highly nonlinear,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Yizhe Cheng , Chunxun Tian , Haoru Wang , Wentao Zhu , Xiaoxuan Ma , Yizhou Wang

This work develops a stochastic model predictive controller~(SMPC) for uncertain linear systems with additive Gaussian noise subject to state and control constraints. The proposed approach is based on the recently developed finite-horizon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

This paper presents two stochastic model predictive control methods for linear time-invariant systems subject to unbounded additive uncertainties. The new methods are developed by formulating the chance constraints into deterministic form,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-22 Fei Li , Huiping Li , Yuyao He

The Bayesian formulation of inverse problems is attractive for three primary reasons: it provides a clear modelling framework; means for uncertainty quantification; and it allows for principled learning of hyperparameters. The posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Matthew M. Dunlop , Tapio Helin , Andrew M. Stuart

We propose a fast probabilistic framework for identifying differential equations governing the dynamics of observed data. We recast the SINDy method within a Bayesian framework and use Gaussian approximations for the prior and likelihood to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Lloyd Fung , Urban Fasel , Matthew P. Juniper

Reconstructing PDE solutions from sparse observations is a core challenge in scientific computing. We present FM4PDE, a flow-matching generative framework that learns the joint distribution of PDE coefficients (or initial states) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Xifeng Zhang , Jin Zhao

Recently, Deep Image Prior (DIP) has demonstrated strong capabilities for solving inverse imaging problems (IIPs) by optimizing a randomly initialized convolutional neural network in a training-data-free regime. However, DIP suffers from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Chaoyan Huang , Cheng-Han Huang , Ismail R. Alkhouri , Rongrong Wang

In inverse problems, the parameters of a model are estimated based on observations of the model response. The Bayesian approach is powerful for solving such problems; one formulates a prior distribution for the parameter state that is…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-08 Max Ehre , Rafael Flock , Martin Fußeder , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have recently emerged as an alternative way of solving partial differential equations (PDEs) without the need of building elaborate grids, instead, using a straightforward implementation. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Dongkun Zhang , Lu Lu , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

In this work, we contribute to the broader understanding of inverse problems by introducing a versatile multiscale modeling framework tailored to the challenges of sediment concentration estimation. Specifically, we propose a novel approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Jiwei Li , Lingyun Qiu , Zhongjing Wang , Hui Yu , Siqin Zheng

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) serve as a powerful modeling tool in various scientific domains, including systems science, engineering, and ecological science. While the specific form of SDEs is typically known for a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Xin Cai , Jingyu Yang , Zhibao Li , Hongqiao Wang , Miao Huang

The simultaneous estimation of multiple unknown parameters lies at heart of a broad class of important problems across science and technology. Currently, the state-of-the-art performance in the such problems is achieved by nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Alton Barbehenn , Sihai Dave Zhao

We study empirical and hierarchical Bayes approaches to the problem of estimating an infinite-dimensional parameter in mildly ill-posed inverse problems. We consider a class of prior distributions indexed by a hyperparameter that quantifies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-30 B. T. Knapik , B. T. Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten
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