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Learning continuous-time stochastic dynamics is a fundamental and essential problem in modeling sporadic time series, whose observations are irregular and sparse in both time and dimension. For a given system whose latent states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Yingru Liu , Yucheng Xing , Xuewen Yang , Xin Wang , Jing Shi , Di Jin , Zhaoyue Chen

Multiscale stochastic dynamical systems have been widely adopted to a variety of scientific and engineering problems due to their capability of depicting complex phenomena in many real world applications. This work is devoted to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-02 Lingyu Feng , Ting Gao , Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan

We consider a problem of statistical estimation of an unknown drift parameter for a stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Two estimators based on discrete observations of solution to the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ral'chenko , Oleg Seleznev , Georgiy Shevchenko

In this paper we study solutions to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discontinuous drift. We apply two approaches: The Euler-Maruyama method and the Fokker-Planck equation and show that a candidate density function based on the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-08-27 Maria Simonsen , John Leth , Henrik Schioler , Horia Cornean

In this paper we provide an analysis of a mean first passage time problem of a random walker subject to a bi-variate $\alpha$-stable L\'evy type noise from a 2-dimensional disk. For an appropriate choice of parameters the mean first passage…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-16 Krzysztof Szczepaniec , Bartlomiej Dybiec

We present a Milstein-type scheme for stochastic differential equations driven by L\'evy noise with super-linear diffusion coefficients and establish its strong convergence.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Chaman Kumar

In this paper we give a solution to the quickest drift change detection problem for a multivariate L\'evy process consisting of both continuous (Gaussian) and jump components in the Bayesian approach. We do it for a general 0-modified…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Michał Krawiec , Zbigniew Palmowski

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

In today's digital world, the generation of vast amounts of streaming data in various domains has become ubiquitous. However, many of these data are unlabeled, making it challenging to identify events, particularly anomalies. This task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Jin Li , Kleanthis Malialis , Christos G. Panayiotou , Marios M. Polycarpou

In many instances, the dynamical richness and complexity observed in natural phenomena can be related to stochastic drives influencing their temporal evolution. For example, random noise allied to spatial asymmetries may induce…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-03 K. S. Fa , C. -L. Ho , Y. B. Matos , M. G. E da Luz

We build and study a data-driven procedure for the estimation of the stationary density f of an additive fractional SDE. To this end, we also prove some new concentrations bounds for discrete observations of such dynamics in stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Fabien Panloup , Maylis Varvenne

In this paper, the successive approximation method is applied to investigate the existence and uniqueness of solutions to the stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by L\'evy noise under non-Lipschitz condition which is a much…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Y Xu , B Pei

We consider a process $X^\ve$ that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $\theta^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, $K\_0(u)=c u^{\alpha-1/2} \id{u>0}$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

We study a one-dimensional kinetic stochastic model driven by a L{\'e}vy process with a non-linear time-inhomogeneous drift. More precisely, the process $(V,X)$ is considered, where $X$ is the position of the particle and its velocity $V$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Mihai Gradinaru , Emeline Luirard

The real-time fault monitoring and control of the Vacuum Assisted Resin Transfer Moulding (VARTM) production process requires a knowledge of the position of the epoxy flow-front inside the mould. Therefore, a fast and accurate flow-front…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Michael Nauheimer , Rishi Relan , Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen , Erik Lindström , Henrik Madsen

Coupling by reflection mixed with synchronous coupling is constructed for a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by L\'{e}vy noises. As an application, we establish the exponential contractivity of the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Jian Wang

In the present work, we establish the approximation of nonlinear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by cylindrical {\alpha}-stable L\'evy processes via modulation or amplitude equations. We study SPDEs with a cubic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Shenglan Yuan , Dirk Blömker

Discrete-time linear time-varying (LTV) systems form a powerful class of models to approximate complex dynamical systems with nonlinear dynamics for the purpose of analysis, design and control. Motivated by inference of spatio-temporal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Roel Dobbe , Stephan Liu , Ye Yuan , Claire Tomlin

We develop a complete and rigorous mathematical framework for the analysis of stochastic neural field equations under the influence of spatially extended additive noise. By comparing a solution to a fixed deterministic front profile it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Jennifer Krüger , Wilhelm Stannat

This paper introduces a new tool for time-series analysis: the Sliding Window Discrete Fourier Transform (SWDFT). The SWDFT is especially useful for time-series with local- in-time periodic components. We define a 5-parameter model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-23 Lee F. Richardson , William F. Eddy