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Causal inference with observational data can be performed under an assumption of no unobserved confounders (unconfoundedness assumption). There is, however, seldom clear subject-matter or empirical evidence for such an assumption. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Minna Genbäck , Xavier de Luna

Singular statistical models arise whenever different parameter values induce the same distribution, leading to non-identifiability and a breakdown of classical asymptotic theory. While existing approaches analyze these phenomena in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Sean Plummer

We show that many bounded rationality patterns of choice can be alternatively represented as testable models of limited consideration, and we elicit the features of the associated unobserved consideration sets from the observed choice.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-08 Davide Carpentiere , Angelo Petralia

In various disordered systems or non-equilibrium dynamical models, the large deviations of some observables have been found to display different scalings for rare values bigger or smaller than the typical value. In the present paper, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

This paper develops a method to conduct causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounders by leveraging networks with homophily, a frequently observed tendency to form edges with similar nodes. I introduce a concept of asymptotic…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Vincent Starck

When data are missing due to at most one cause from some time to next time, we can make sampling distribution inferences about the parameter of the data by modeling the missing-data mechanism correctly. Proverbially, in case its mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-21 Kosuke Morikawa , Yutaka Kano

This paper concerns the estimation of sums of functions of observable and unobservable variables. Lower bounds for the asymptotic variance and a convolution theorem are derived in general finite- and infinite-dimensional models. An explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cun-Hui Zhang

We consider the problem of parameter estimation using weakly supervised datasets, where a training sample consists of the input and a partially specified annotation, which we refer to as the output. The missing information in the annotation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 M. Pawan Kumar , Ben Packer , Daphne Koller

This paper studies the identification and estimation of a nonparametric nonseparable dyadic model where the structural function and the distribution of the unobservable random terms are assumed to be unknown. The identification and the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-20 Brice Romuald Gueyap Kounga

Deep latent variable models learn condensed representations of data that, hopefully, reflect the inner workings of the studied phenomena. Unfortunately, these latent representations are not statistically identifiable, meaning they cannot be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Stas Syrota , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Johnny Xi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Søren Hauberg

Finding the underlying probability distributions of a set of observed sequences under the constraint that each sequence is generated i.i.d by a distinct distribution is considered. The number of distributions, and hence the number of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Sara Shahi , Daniela Tuninetti , Natasha Devroye

We present a way of introducing joint distibution function and its marginal distribution functions for non-compatible observables. Each such marginal distribution function has the property of commutativity. Models based on this approach can…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Oľga Nánásiová , Andrei Yu. Khrennikov

A function of the empirical characteristic function,exists for the stable distribution, which leads to a linear regression and can be used to estimate the parameters. Two approaches are often used, one to find optimal values of t, but these…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

A hidden Markov model is called observable if distinct initial laws give rise to distinct laws of the observation process. Observability implies stability of the nonlinear filter when the signal process is tight, but this need not be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-10 Ramon van Handel

This paper examines a heterogeneous beliefs model in which there is a process that is only partially observed by the agents. The economy contains a risky asset producing dividends continuously in time. The dividends are observed by the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-29 A. A. Brown

Convenient access to observational data enables us to learn causal effects without randomized experiments. This research direction draws increasing attention in research areas such as economics, healthcare, and education. For example, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Ruocheng Guo , Jundong Li , Huan Liu

A probabilistic query may not be estimable from observed data corrupted by missing values if the data are not missing at random (MAR). It is therefore of theoretical interest and practical importance to determine in principle whether a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Jin Tian

In the context of multilevel longitudinal data, where sample units are collected in clusters, an important aspect that should be accounted for is the unobserved heterogeneity between sample units and between clusters. For this aim we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-10 F. Bartolucci , M. Lupparelli

The bifactor model and its extensions are multidimensional latent variable models, under which each item measures up to one subdimension on top of the primary dimension(s). Despite their wide applications to educational and psychological…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Guanhua Fang , Xin Xu , Jinxin Guo , Zhiliang Ying , Susu Zhang

Observational studies are a key resource for causal inference but are often affected by systematic biases. Prior work has focused mainly on detecting these biases, via sensitivity analyses and comparisons with randomized controlled trials,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ilker Demirel , Zeshan Hussain , Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , David Sontag