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This paper proposes an approach, Spectral Dynamics Embedding Control (SDEC), to optimal control for nonlinear stochastic systems. This method reveals an infinite-dimensional feature representation induced by the system's nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Zhaolin Ren , Tongzheng Ren , Haitong Ma , Na Li , Bo Dai

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

In this paper we propose a new methodology for decision-making under uncertainty using recent advancements in the areas of nonlinear stochastic optimal control theory, applied mathematics, and machine learning. Grounded on the fundamental…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Marcus Pereira , Ziyi Wang , Ioannis Exarchos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

We present a hierarchical, control theory inspired method for variational inference (VI) for neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs). While VI for neural SDEs is a promising avenue for uncertainty-aware reasoning in time-series, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Rembert Daems , Manfred Opper , Guillaume Crevecoeur , Tolga Birdal

We present a framework and algorithms to learn controlled dynamics models using neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) -- SDEs whose drift and diffusion terms are both parametrized by neural networks. We construct the drift term to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Franck Djeumou , Cyrus Neary , Ufuk Topcu

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Noura Dridi , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

The problem of function approximation by neural dynamical systems has typically been approached in a top-down manner: Any continuous function can be approximated to an arbitrary accuracy by a sufficiently complex model with a given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Tanya Veeravalli , Maxim Raginsky

We consider the control of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) via deterministic controls. In the case of multiplicative noise, existence of optimal controls and necessary conditions for optimality are derived. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Wilhelm Stannat , Lukas Wessels

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a staple of mathematical modelling of temporal dynamics. However, a fundamental limitation has been that such models have typically been relatively inflexible, which recent work introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Patrick Kidger , James Foster , Xuechen Li , Harald Oberhauser , Terry Lyons

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (or discovery)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , David Berghaus , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

Neural differential equations predict the derivative of a stochastic process. This allows irregular forecasting with arbitrary time-steps. However, the expressive temporal flexibility often comes with a high sensitivity to noise. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Stav Belogolovsky , Ido Greenberg , Danny Eitan , Shie Mannor

Inspired by the ubiquitous use of differential equations to model continuous dynamics across diverse scientific and engineering domains, we propose a novel and intuitive approach to continuous sequence modeling. Our method interprets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Macheng Shen , Chen Cheng

Understanding the behavior of stochastic gradient methods is a central problem in modern machine learning. Recent work has highlighted diagonal linear networks as a simplified yet expressive setting for analyzing the optimization and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Begoña García Malaxechebarría , Courtney Paquette , Maryam Fazel , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

We consider a stochastic control problem for a class of nonlinear kernels. More precisely, our problem of interest consists in the optimisation, over a set of possibly non-dominated probability measures, of solutions of backward stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-28 Dylan Possamaï , Xiaolu Tan , Chao Zhou

We study stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE) where the coefficients depend on the moving averages of the state process. As a first contribution, we provide sufficient conditions under which a linear path functional of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-17 Salvatore Federico , Peter Tankov

Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Linus Heck , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Michael T. Schaub , Niklas Boers

Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Lingkai Kong , Jimeng Sun , Chao Zhang

Variance reduction techniques are of crucial importance for the efficiency of Monte Carlo simulations in finance applications. We propose the use of neural SDEs, with control variates parameterized by neural networks, in order to learn…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-06 P. D. Hinds , M. V. Tretyakov

Irregular sampling intervals and missing values in real-world time series data present challenges for conventional methods that assume consistent intervals and complete data. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs) offer an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 YongKyung Oh , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock
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