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Accurate uncertainty quantification is a critical challenge in machine learning. While neural networks are highly versatile and capable of learning complex patterns, they often lack interpretability due to their ``black box'' nature. On the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Pragatheeswaran Vipulananthan , Kamal Premaratne , Dilip Sarkar , Manohar N. Murthi

Deep learning algorithms have recently shown to be a successful tool in estimating parameters of statistical models for which simulation is easy, but likelihood computation is challenging. But the success of these approaches depends on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Amanda Lenzi , Haavard Rue

Black-box variational inference is widely used in situations where there is no proof that its stochastic optimization succeeds. We suggest this is due to a theoretical gap in existing stochastic optimization proofs: namely the challenge of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Justin Domke , Guillaume Garrigos , Robert Gower

In response to subtle adversarial examples flipping classifications of neural network models, recent research has promoted certified robustness as a solution. There, invariance of predictions to all norm-bounded attacks is achieved through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Andrew C. Cullen , Paul Montague , Shijie Liu , Sarah M. Erfani , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

Real-life applications of deep neural networks are hindered by their unsteady predictions when faced with noisy inputs and adversarial attacks. The certified radius in this context is a crucial indicator of the robustness of models. However…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Blaise Delattre , Alexandre Araujo , Quentin Barthélemy , Alexandre Allauzen

Ensuring trustworthiness in open-world visual recognition requires models that are interpretable, fair, and robust to distribution shifts. Yet modern vision systems are increasingly deployed as proprietary black-box APIs, exposing only…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Simone Carnemolla , Chiara Russo , Simone Palazzo , Quentin Bouniot , Daniela Giordano , Zeynep Akata , Matteo Pennisi , Concetto Spampinato

Explainability of black-box machine learning models is crucial, in particular when deployed in critical applications such as medicine or autonomous cars. Existing approaches produce explanations for the predictions of models, however, how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Jonas Schulz , Rafael Poyiadzi , Raul Santos-Rodriguez

Forward invariance is a long-studied property in control theory that is used to certify that a dynamical system stays within some pre-specified set of states for all time, and also admits robustness guarantees (e.g., the certificate holds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Yujia Huang , Ivan Dario Jimenez Rodriguez , Huan Zhang , Yuanyuan Shi , Yisong Yue

The regulatory approval and broad clinical deployment of medical AI have been hampered by the perception that deep learning models fail in unpredictable and possibly catastrophic ways. A lack of statistically rigorous uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Charles Lu , Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stuart Pomerantz

The goal of selective prediction is to allow an a model to abstain when it may not be able to deliver a reliable prediction, which is important in safety-critical contexts. Existing approaches to selective prediction typically require…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Zaid Khan , Yun Fu

Recent variational inference methods use stochastic gradient estimators whose variance is not well understood. Theoretical guarantees for these estimators are important to understand when these methods will or will not work. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Justin Domke

Graph classification has practical applications in diverse fields. Recent studies show that graph-based machine learning models are especially vulnerable to adversarial perturbations due to the non i.i.d nature of graph data. By adding or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Zhidong Gao , Rui Hu , Yanmin Gong

Variational inference has become a widely used method to approximate posteriors in complex latent variables models. However, deriving a variational inference algorithm generally requires significant model-specific analysis, and these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-03 Rajesh Ranganath , Sean Gerrish , David M. Blei

Uncertainty estimation is critical for numerous applications of deep neural networks and draws growing attention from researchers. Here, we demonstrate an uncertainty quantification approach for deep neural networks used in inverse problems…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Luzhe Huang , Jianing Li , Xiaofu Ding , Yijie Zhang , Hanlong Chen , Aydogan Ozcan

Many systems contain latent variables that make their dynamics partially unidentifiable or cause distribution shifts in the observed statistics between offline and online data. However, existing control techniques often assume access to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-24 Haoming Jing , Yorie Nakahira

Robustness is of central importance in machine learning and has given rise to the fields of domain generalization and invariant learning, which are concerned with improving performance on a test distribution distinct from but related to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Robert Adragna , Elliot Creager , David Madras , Richard Zemel

Many safety failures in machine learning arise when models are used to assign predictions to people (often in settings like lending, hiring, or content moderation) without accounting for how individuals can change their inputs. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Seung Hyun Cheon , Meredith Stewart , Bogdan Kulynych , Tsui-Wei Weng , Berk Ustun

This work is concerned with conformal prediction in contemporary applications (including generative AI) where a black-box model has been trained on data that are not accessible to the user. Mirroring split-conformal inference, we design a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Jungeum Kim , Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Rockova

Black-box variational inference (BBVI) now sees widespread use in machine learning and statistics as a fast yet flexible alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximate Bayesian inference. However, stochastic optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-22 Manushi Welandawe , Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari , Jonathan H. Huggins

Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model failures. Conformal prediction is a user-friendly paradigm for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates