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Before we apply nonlinear techniques, for example those inspired by chaos theory, to dynamical phenomena occurring in nature, it is necessary to first ask if the use of such advanced techniques is justified "by the data". While many…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

The aim of this paper is to provide a variational interpretation of the nonlinear filter in continuous time. A time-stepping procedure is introduced, consisting of successive minimization problems in the space of probability densities. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Richard S. Laugesen , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn , Maxim Raginsky

This paper is devoted to the problem of sampling Gaussian fields in high dimension. Solutions exist for two specific structures of inverse covariance : sparse and circulant. The proposed approach is valid in a more general case and…

Computation · Statistics 2011-05-31 F. Orieux , O. Féron , J. -F. Giovannelli

The projection filter is one of the approximations to the solution of the optimal filtering problem. It approximates the filtering density by projecting the dynamics of the square-root filtering density onto the tangent space of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Muhammad Fuady Emzir

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Considering a common case where measurements are obtained from independent sensors, we present a novel outlier-robust filter for nonlinear dynamical systems in this work. The proposed method is devised by modifying the measurement model and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-26 Aamir Hussain Chughtai , Muhammad Tahir , Momin Uppal

Many real-world applications demand accurate and fast predictions, as well as reliable uncertainty estimates. However, quantifying uncertainty on high-dimensional predictions is still a severely under-investigated problem, especially when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Saurabh Deshpande , Hussein Rappel , Mark Hobbs , Stéphane P. A. Bordas , Jakub Lengiewicz

Identification of nonlinear dynamic systems remains a significant challenge across engineering. This work suggests an approach based on Bayesian filtering to extract and identify the contribution of an unknown nonlinear term in the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-01 Timothy J. Rogers , Tobias Friis

We present a Bayesian nonparametric system reliability model which scales well and provides a great deal of flexibility in modeling. The Bayesian approach naturally handles the disparate amounts of component and subsystem data that may…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Richard L. Warr , Jeremy M. Meyer , Jackson T. Curtis

We consider a nonlinear filtering problem of multiscale non-Gaussian signal processes and observation processes with jumps. Firstly, we prove that the dimension for the signal system can be reduced by a homogenized approach. Secondly,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Huijie Qiao

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

This work introduces the Gaussian integration to address a smoothing problem of a nonlinear stochastic state space model. The probability densities of states at each time instant are assumed to be Gaussian, and their means and covariances…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-14 Rohit Kumar Singh , Kundan Kumar , Shovan Bhaumik

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter combines the simplicity and power of Gaussian mixture models with the provable convergence and power of particle filters. The quality of the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter heavily depends on the choice…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Andrey A Popov , Renato Zanetti

A Bayes factor is proposed for testing whether the effect of a key predictor variable on the dependent variable is linear or nonlinear, possibly while controlling for certain covariates. The test can be used (i) when one is interested in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-16 Joris Mulder

We consider the Bayesian optimal filtering problem: i.e. estimating some conditional statistics of a latent time-series signal from an observation sequence. Classical approaches often rely on the use of assumed or estimated transition and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Edwin V. Bonilla

We address the joint estimation of changes in the position and linear momentum of a quantum particle or, equivalently, changes in the complex field of a bosonic mode. Although these changes are generated by non-commuting operators, we show…

The problem is target motion analysis (TMA), where the objective is to estimate the state of a moving target from noise corrupted bearings-only measurements. The focus is on recursive TMA, traditionally solved using the Bayesian filters…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Branko Ristic , Jeremie Houssineau , Sanjeev Arulampalam

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model for mixed-type bounded data, where some variables are compositional and others are interval-bounded. Compositional variables are non-negative and sum to a given constant, such as the proportion of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Rufeng Liu , Claudia Wehrhahn , Andrés F. Barrientos , Alejandro Jara

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

We investigate the non-Markovianity of continuous variable Gaussian quantum channels through the evolution of an operational metrological quantifier, namely the Gaussian interferometric power, which captures the minimal precision that can…