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We analyze how equilibrium housing prices are determined in the process of economic development within an overlapping generations model with perfect housing and rental markets. We characterize the rent growth rate in all equilibria. The…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-09 Tomohiro Hirano , Alexis Akira Toda

Historical trends suggest the decline in importance of land as a production factor but its continued importance as a store of value. Using an overlapping generations model with land and aggregate uncertainty, we theoretically study the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-11 Tomohiro Hirano , Alexis Akira Toda

This article provides a self-contained overview of the theory of rational asset price bubbles. We cover topics from basic definitions, properties, and classical results to frontier research, with an emphasis on bubbles attached to real…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-05 Tomohiro Hirano , Alexis Akira Toda

The scale and terms of aggregate borrowing in an economy depend on the manner in which wealth is distributed across potential creditors with heterogeneous beliefs about the future. This distribution evolves over time as uncertainty is…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-10 Bikramaditya Datta , Rajiv Sethi

This paper presents a model that studies the impact of credit expansions arising from increases in collateral values or lower interest rate policies on long-run productivity and economic growth in a two-sector endogenous growth economy,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-10 Tomohiro Hirano , Joseph E. Stiglitz

The price-bubble and crash process formation is theoretically investigated in a two-asset equilibrium model. Sufficient and necessary conditions are derived for the existence of average equilibrium price dynamics of different agent-based…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-06 Francesco Cordoni

Leverage is strongly related to liquidity in a market and lack of liquidity is considered a cause and/or consequence of the recent financial crisis. A repurchase agreement is a financial instrument where a security is sold simultaneously…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-05 Wanfeng Yan , Ryan Woodard , Didier Sornette

We present a simple agent-based model of a financial system composed of leveraged investors such as banks that invest in stocks and manage their risk using a Value-at-Risk constraint, based on historical observations of asset prices. The…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-19 Christoph Aymanns , J. Doyne Farmer

This paper analyses the impact of credit expansions arising from decreases in collateral requirements or more expansionary monetary policies on long-term productivity in a model with endogenous growth. Credit expansions associated with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-23 Tomohiro Hirano , Joseph E. Stiglitz

We investigate the full dynamics of capital allocation and wealth distribution of heterogeneous agents in a frictional economy during booms and busts using tools from mean-field games. Two groups in our models, namely the expert and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-18 Hoang Vu , Tomoyuki Ichiba

This paper characterizes the equilibrium in a continuous time financial market populated by heterogeneous agents who differ in their rate of relative risk aversion and face convex portfolio constraints. The model is studied in an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Tyler Abbot

A macroeconomic model based on the economic variables (i) assets, (ii) leverage (defined as debt over asset) and (iii) trust (defined as the maximum sustainable leverage) is proposed to investigate the role of credit in the dynamics of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Jeroen Rozendaal , Yannick Malevergne , Didier Sornette

Peters (2011a) defined an optimal leverage which maximizes the time-average growth rate of an investment held at constant leverage. It was hypothesized that this optimal leverage is attracted to 1, such that, e.g., leveraging an investment…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-12 Ole Peters , Alexander Adamou

Systemic financial risk refers to the simultaneous failure or destabilization of multiple financial institutions, often triggered by contagion mechanisms or common exposures to shocks. In this paper, we present a dynamical model of bank…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Marco Ioffredi , Stefano Marmi , Matteo Tanzi

The agent-based Yard-Sale model of wealth inequality is generalized to incorporate exponential economic growth and its distribution. The distribution of economic growth is nonuniform and is determined by the wealth of each agent and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-26 Kang K. L. Liu , N. Lubbers , W. Klein , J. Tobochnik , B. M. Boghosian , Harvey Gould

We define a financial bubble as a period of unsustainable growth, when the price of an asset increases ever more quickly, in a series of accelerating phases of corrections and rebounds. More technically, during a bubble phase, the price…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-09 Didier Sornette , Peter Cauwels

We present a macro-finance model with innovation and knowledge spillover. Skilled agents engage in R&D activities (establish firms) or work in the knowledge-intensive sector. Unskilled agents work in the traditional sector. Knowledge…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-19 Tomohiro Hirano , Keiichi Kishi , Alexis Akira Toda

Since McCallum (1987), it is well known that in an overlapping generations (OLG) economy with land, the equilibrium is Pareto efficient because with balanced growth, the interest rate exceeds the economic growth rate ($R>G$), which rules…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-18 Tomohiro Hirano , Alexis Akira Toda

Rational pure bubble models feature multiple (and often a continuum of) equilibria, which makes model predictions and policy analyses non-robust. We show that when the interest rate in the fundamental equilibrium is below the economic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-28 Tomohiro Hirano , Alexis Akira Toda

We study an overlapping generations (OLG) exchange economy with an asset that yields dividends. First, we derive general conditions, based on exogenous parameters, that give rise to three distinct scenarios: (1) only bubbleless equilibria…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Stefano Bosi , Cuong Le Van , Ngoc-Sang Pham
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