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We present a macroeconomic agent-based model that combines several mechanisms operating at the same timescale, while remaining mathematically tractable. It comprises enterprises and workers who compete in a job market and a commodity goods…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-26 Cornelia Metzig , Mirta Gordon

We present a dynamical theory of asset price bubbles that exhibits the appearance of bubbles and their subsequent crashes. We show that when speculative trends dominate over fundamental beliefs, bubbles form, leading to the growth of asset…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 Michael Youssefmir , Bernardo Huberman , Tad Hogg

Episodes of market crashes have fascinated economists for centuries. Although many academics, practitioners and policy makers have studied questions related to collapsing asset price bubbles, there is little consensus yet about their causes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-15 T. Kaizoji , D. Sornette

The major perspective of this paper is to provide more evidence regarding how "quickly", in different macroeconomic states, companies adjust their capital structure to their leverage targets. This study extends the empirical research on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-13 Andreas Kaloudis , Dimitrios Tsolis

We study risk-sharing economies where heterogenous agents trade subject to quadratic transaction costs. The corresponding equilibrium asset prices and trading strategies are characterised by a system of nonlinear, fully-coupled…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Martin Herdegen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Dylan Possamaï

We present a limits-to-arbitrage model to study the impact of securitization, leverage and credit risk protection on the cyclicity of bank credit. In a stable bank credit situation, no cycles of credit expansion or contraction appear.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-01-03 Juan Ignacio Peña

We propose a simple non-equilibrium model of a financial market as an open system with a possible exchange of money with an outside world and market frictions (trade impacts) incorporated into asset price dynamics via a feedback mechanism.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-29 Igor Halperin , Matthew Dixon

We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-04-23 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova

We develop a finite horizon continuous time market model, where risk averse investors maximize utility from terminal wealth by dynamically investing in a risk-free money market account, a stock written on a default-free dividend process,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-23 Agostino Capponi , Martin Larsson

This thesis develops equilibrium asset pricing models in incomplete markets with a large number of heterogeneous agents using mean field game theory. The market equilibrium is characterized by a novel form of mean field backward stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-24 Masashi Sekine

When trading incurs proportional costs, leverage can scale an asset's return only up to a maximum multiple, which is sensitive to its volatility and liquidity. In a model with one safe and one risky asset, with constant investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-29 Paolo Guasoni , Eberhard Mayerhofer

In nature and human societies, the effects of homogeneous and heterogeneous characteristics on the evolution of collective behaviors are quite different from each other. It is of great importance to understand the underlying mechanisms of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-20 Wen-Juan Xu , Chen-Yang Zhong , Fei Ren , Tian Qiu , Rong-Da Chen , Yun-Xin He , Li-Xin Zhong

We study a dynamical model of interconnected firms which allows for certain market imperfections and frictions, restricted here to be myopic price forecasts and slow adjustment of production. Whereas the standard rational equilibrium is…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Julius Bonart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Augustin Landier , David Thesmar

This paper investigates the emergence of wealth inequality through a minimalist kinetic exchange model that incorporates two fundamental economic features: fixed-amount transactions and hard budget constraints. In contrast to the maximum…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-12 Jihyuan Liuh

Why do companies choose particular capital structures? A compelling answer to this question remains elusive despite extensive research. In this article, we use double machine learning to examine the heterogeneous causal effect of credit…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-28 Helmut Wasserbacher , Martin Spindler

We develop a mean-field theory of the growth, exchange and distribution (GED) model introduced by Kang et al. (preceding paper) that accurately describes the phase transition in the limit that the number of agents $N$ approaches infinity.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 W. Klein , N. Lubbers , Kang K. L. Liu , T. Khouw , Harvey Gould

Financial contagion has been widely recognized as a fundamental risk to the financial system. Particularly potent is price-mediated contagion, wherein forced liquidations by firms depress asset prices and propagate financial stress,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-06 Zhiyu Cao , Zihan Chen , Prerna Mishra , Hamed Amini , Zachary Feinstein

We consider the relationship between economic activity and intervention, including monetary and fiscal policy, using a universal dynamic framework. Central bank policies are designed for growth without excess inflation. However,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-01-01 Yaneer Bar-Yam , Jean Langlois-Meurinne , Mari Kawakatsu , Rodolfo Garcia

In this paper, using the mean-field game theory, we study a problem of equilibrium price formation among many investors with exponential utility in the presence of liabilities unspanned by the security prices. The investors are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-07 Masaaki Fujii , Masashi Sekine

We investigate quantitatively the so-called leverage effect, which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks, this correlation is moderate and decays exponentially over 50 days,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Andrew Matacz , Marc Potters