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Estimating causal effects from observational data has become increasingly critical in diverse fields including healthcare, economics, and social policy. The fundamental challenge in causal inference arises from the missing counterfactuals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Yifei Xie , Jian Huang

Rainfall is an essential hydrological component, and most of the economic activities of an agrarian country like Bangladesh depend on rainfall. An accurate rainfall forecast can help make necessary decisions and reduce the damages caused by…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-17 Rezoanoor Rahman , Fariha Taskin

The generalized exponential distribution is a well-known probability model in lifetime data analysis and several other research areas, including precipitation modeling. Despite having broad applications for independently and identically…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-10 Arijit Dey , Arnab Hazra

Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) station-based Precipitation Nowcasting aims to predict rainfall within the next 0-6 hours by leveraging a GNSS station's historical observations of precipitation, GNSS-PWV, and related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Yifang Zhang , Shengwu Xiong , Henan Wang , Wenjie Yin , Jiawang Peng , Duan Zhou , Yuqiang Zhang , Chen Zhou , Hua Chen , Qile Zhao , Pengfei Duan

Missing data can significantly hamper standard time series analysis, yet they occur frequently in applications. In this paper, we introduce temporal Wasserstein imputation, a novel method for imputing missing data in time series. Unlike…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Shuo-Chieh Huang , Tengyuan Liang , Ruey S. Tsay

Hydroelectric power generation is a critical component of the global energy matrix, particularly in countries like Brazil, where it represents the majority of the energy supply. However, its strong dependence on river discharges, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Julio Alberto Silva Dias

This paper presents GeoFlood, a new open-source software package for solving the shallow-water equations (SWE) on a quadtree hierarchy of mapped, logically Cartesian grids managed by the parallel, adaptive library ForestClaw (Calhoun and…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-09 Brian Kyanjo , Donna Calhoun , David L. George

Inverse problems in granular flows, such as landslides and debris flows, involve estimating material parameters or boundary conditions based on target runout profile. Traditional high-fidelity simulators for these inverse problems are…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-04-29 Yongjin Choi , Krishna Kumar

Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets), a new family of probabilistic samplers, have demonstrated remarkable capabilities to generate diverse sets of high-reward candidates, in contrast to standard return maximization approaches (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Haoran He , Can Chang , Huazhe Xu , Ling Pan

Groundwater level prediction is an applied time series forecasting task with important social impacts to optimize water management as well as preventing some natural disasters: for instance, floods or severe droughts. Machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Michael Franklin Mbouopda , Thomas Guyet , Nicolas Labroche , Abel Henriot

Accurate and fast localization is vital for safe autonomous navigation in GPS-denied areas. Fine-Grained Cross-View Geolocalization (FG-CVG) aims to estimate the precise 2-Degree-of-Freedom (2-DoF) location of a ground image relative to a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ayesh Abu Lehyeh , Xiaohan Zhang , Ahmad Arrabi , Waqas Sultani , Chen Chen , Safwan Wshah

Accurate rainfall forecasting, particularly for extreme events, remains a significant challenge in climatology and the Earth system. This paper presents novel physics-informed Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) combined with extreme-value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Kiattikun Chobtham , Kanoksri Sarinnapakorn , Kritanai Torsri , Prattana Deeprasertkul , Jirawan Kamma

Remote sensors are becoming the standard for observing and recording ecological data in the field. Such sensors can record data at fine temporal resolutions, and they can operate under extreme conditions prohibitive to human access.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Ethan W. Dereszynski , Thomas G. Dietterich

This paper introduces Bayesian Flow Networks (BFNs), a new class of generative model in which the parameters of a set of independent distributions are modified with Bayesian inference in the light of noisy data samples, then passed as input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Alex Graves , Rupesh Kumar Srivastava , Timothy Atkinson , Faustino Gomez

High quality Quantitative Precipitation Estimation at high spatiotemporal resolution is crucial to many hydrologic/hydro-meteorological designs. Optimal Quantitative Precipitation Estimation of rainfall improves the accuracy of river and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-03 Ruhollah Nasiri , Mohamad Sarajzadeh

Predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling is quantified by using post-processing or Bayesian-based methods. The former methods are not straightforward and the latter ones are not distribution-free (i.e. assumptions on the probability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

Landslide detection from satellite imagery has advanced through deep learning, yet most models rely on large, highly correlated spectral-topographic inputs whose contributions remain poorly understood. The question of which channels are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Arsalaan Ahmad , Oktay Karakus , Paul L. Rosin

This paper investigates the performance of Echo State Networks (ESNs) for univariate time series forecasting using a subset of the M4 Forecasting Competition dataset. Focusing on monthly and quarterly time series, we evaluate whether a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Alexander Häußer

We describe the new global land water storage data set GLWS2.0, which contains total water storage anomalies (TWSA) over the global land except for Greenland and Antarctica with a spatial resolution of 0.5{\deg}, covering the time frame…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-09 Helena Gerdener , Jürgen Kusche , Kerstin Schulze , Petra Döll , Anna Klos

Machine learning is playing an increasing role in hydrology, supplementing or replacing physics-based models. One notable example is the use of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) for forecasting streamflow given observed precipitation and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Mauricio Lima , Katherine Deck , Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Tapio Schneider