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Related papers: Feedback Design for Devising Optimal Epidemic Cont…

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Often it is desirable to stabilize a system around an optimal state. This can be effectively accomplished using feedback control, where the system deviation from the desired state is measured in order to determine the magnitude of the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-09-07 Aykut Argun , Giovanni Volpe

We investigate the time-optimal control problem in SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) epidemic models, focusing on different control policies: vaccination, isolation, culling, and reduction of transmission. Applying the Pontryagin's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Luca Bolzoni , Elena Bonacini , Cinzia Soresina , Maria Groppi

A plethora of prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Prediction performances not only depend on the structure and features of the model, but also on its parametrization. Official databases are often biased due…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-27 Yuri Kheifetz , Holger Kirsten , Markus Scholz

In this paper, we develop a robust economic model predictive controller for the containment of stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Vigilant (SEIV) epidemic processes which drives the process to extinction quickly, while minimizing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

We propose an observer for a SIR epidemic model. The observer is then uplifted into a predictor to compensate for time delays in the input and the output. Tuning criteria are given for tuning gains of the predictor, while the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-05 Sabine Mondié , Fernando Castaños

Economic model predictive control and tracking model predictive control are two popular advanced process control strategies used in various of fields. Nevertheless, which one should be chosen to achieve better performance in the presence of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-07 Jiangbang Liu , Song Bo , Benjamin Decardi-Nelson , Jinfeng Liu , Jingtao Hu , Tao Zou

Probabilistic control design is founded on the principle that a rational agent attempts to match modelled with an arbitrary desired closed-loop system trajectory density. The framework was originally proposed as a tractable alternative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Tom Lefebvre

Many physical, biological, and even social systems are faced with the problem of how to efficiently harvest free energy from an environment that can have many possible states, yet only have a limited number of harvesting protocols to choose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-04 Harrison Hartle , David Wolpert , Andrew Stier , Christopher P. Kempes , Gonzalo Manzano

We consider optimal design of infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations that contain secondary reducible model uncertainties, in addition to the uncertainty in the inversion parameters.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Isaac Sunseri

We consider the problem of optimizing the economic performance of nonlinear constrained systems subject to uncertain time-varying parameters and bounded disturbances. In particular, we propose an adaptive economic model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Maximilian Degner , Raffaele Soloperto , Melanie N. Zeilinger , John Lygeros , Johannes Köhler

This work proposes a robust data-driven predictive control approach for unknown nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded process and measurement noise. Data-driven reachable sets are employed for the controller design instead of using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 Mahsa Farjadnia , Amr Alanwar , Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , Marco Molinari , Karl Henrik Johansson

The mathematical interpretation of interventions for the mitigation of epidemics and pandemics in the literature often involves finding the optimal time to initiate an intervention and/or the use of infections to manage impact. Whilst these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-17 James Van Yperen , Eduard Campillo-Funollet , Rebecca Inkpen , Anjum Memon , Anotida Madzvamuse

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

In this paper, we study an optimal control problem of a communicable disease in a prison population. In order to control the spread of the disease inside a prison, we consider an active case-finding strategy, consisting on screening a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Pedro Gajardo , Victor Riquelme , Diego Vicencio

Epidemic control frequently relies on adjusting interventions based on prevalence. But designing such policies is a highly non-trivial problem due to uncertain intervention effects, costs and the difficulty of quantifying key transmission…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-16 Giovanni Pugliese Carratelli , Xiaodong Cheng , Kris V. Parag , Ioannis Lestas

Many epidemic models are naturally defined as individual-based models: where we track the state of each individual within a susceptible population. Inference for individual-based models is challenging due to the high-dimensional state-space…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Lorenzo Rimella , Christopher Jewell , Paul Fearnhead

Simulating the spread of infectious diseases in human communities is critical for predicting the trajectory of an epidemic and verifying various policies to control the devastating impacts of the outbreak. Many existing simulators are based…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-22 Arash Mehrjou , Ashkan Soleymani , Amin Abyaneh , Samir Bhatt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

Compartmental models have long served as important tools in mathematical epidemiology, with their usefulness highlighted by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. However, most of the classical models fail to account for certain features of this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Monique Chyba , Taylor Klotz , Yuriy Mileyko , Corey Shanbrom

We present a method for providing statistical guarantees on runtime safety and goal reachability for integrated planning and control of a class of systems with unknown nonlinear stochastic underactuated dynamics. Specifically, given a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Craig Knuth , Glen Chou , Jamie Reese , Joe Moore

A stochastic model predictive control framework over unreliable Bernoulli communication channels, in the presence of unbounded process noise and under bounded control inputs, is presented for tracking a reference signal. The data losses in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-25 Prabhat K. Mishra , Sanket S. Diwale , Colin N. Jones , Debasish Chatterjee
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