English

Observer-based predictor for a SIR model with delays

Systems and Control 2021-08-05 v1 Systems and Control Dynamical Systems Optimization and Control

Abstract

We propose an observer for a SIR epidemic model. The observer is then uplifted into a predictor to compensate for time delays in the input and the output. Tuning criteria are given for tuning gains of the predictor, while the estimation-error stability is ensured using Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals. The predictor's performance is evaluated in combination with a time-optimal control. We show that the predictor nearly recovers the performance level of the delay-free system.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2010.12106,
  title  = {Observer-based predictor for a SIR model with delays},
  author = {Sabine Mondié and Fernando Castaños},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2010.12106},
  year   = {2021}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T19:34:33.514Z