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Self- and mutually-exciting point processes are popular models in machine learning and statistics for dependent discrete event data. To date, most existing models assume stationary kernels (including the classical Hawkes processes) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Shixiang Zhu , Haoyun Wang , Zheng Dong , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) model discrete events distributed in time and space, with important applications in areas such as criminology, seismology, epidemiology, and social networks. Traditional models often rely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Xiuyuan Cheng , Zheng Dong , Yao Xie

Point process models are widely used for continuous asynchronous event data, where each data point includes time and additional information called "marks", which can be locations, nodes, or event types. This paper presents a novel point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Zheng Dong , Matthew Repasky , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

Learning the dynamics of spatiotemporal events is a fundamental problem. Neural point processes enhance the expressivity of point process models with deep neural networks. However, most existing methods only consider temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zihao Zhou , Xingyi Yang , Ryan Rossi , Handong Zhao , Rose Yu

A temporal point process is a mathematical model for a time series of discrete events, which covers various applications. Recently, recurrent neural network (RNN) based models have been developed for point processes and have been found…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Takahiro Omi , Naonori Ueda , Kazuyuki Aihara

Event sequence, asynchronously generated with random timestamp, is ubiquitous among applications. The precise and arbitrary timestamp can carry important clues about the underlying dynamics, and has lent the event data fundamentally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-26 Shuai Xiao , Junchi Yan , Stephen M. Chu , Xiaokang Yang , Hongyuan Zha

We present a novel Neural Embedding Spatio-Temporal (NEST) point process model for spatio-temporal discrete event data and develop an efficient imitation learning (a type of reinforcement learning) based approach for model fitting. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Shixiang Zhu , Shuang Li , Zhigang Peng , Yao Xie

Multi-class event streams arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering structured, interpretable inter-event relationships, together with accurate prediction, remains a central challenge. Existing neural point process models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zhitong Xu , Qiwei Yuan , Yinghao Chen , Shandian Zhe , Bin Shen

We present a novel attention-based model for discrete event data to capture complex non-linear temporal dependence structures. We borrow the idea from the attention mechanism and incorporate it into the point processes' conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-23 Shixiang Zhu , Minghe Zhang , Ruyi Ding , Yao Xie

Machine learning models can represent climate processes that are nonlocal in horizontal space, height, and time, often by combining information across these dimensions in highly nonlinear ways. While this can improve predictive skill, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Savannah L. Ferretti , Jerry Lin , Sara Shamekh , Jane W. Baldwin , Michael S. Pritchard , Tom Beucler

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

Existing permanental processes often impose constraints on kernel types or stationarity, limiting the model's expressiveness. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel approach utilizing the sparse spectral representation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Zicheng Sun , Yixuan Zhang , Zenan Ling , Xuhui Fan , Feng Zhou

Deep neural network models represent the state-of-the-art methodologies for natural language processing. Here we build on top of these methodologies to incorporate temporal information and model how to review data changes with time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Kostadin Cvejoski , Ramses J. Sanchez , Bogdan Georgiev , Christian Bauckhage , Cesar Ojeda

Spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs) are probabilistic models for events occurring in continuous space and time. Real-world event data often exhibit intricate dependencies and heterogeneous dynamics. By incorporating modern deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Sumantrak Mukherjee , Mouad Elhamdi , George Mohler , David A. Selby , Yao Xie , Sebastian Vollmer , Gerrit Grossmann

Predicting when and where events will occur in cities, like taxi pick-ups, crimes, and vehicle collisions, is a challenging and important problem with many applications in fields such as urban planning, transportation optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Maya Okawa , Tomoharu Iwata , Takeshi Kurashima , Yusuke Tanaka , Hiroyuki Toda , Naonori Ueda

Point processes model the distribution of random point sets in mathematical spaces, such as spatial and temporal domains, with applications in fields like seismology, neuroscience, and economics. Existing statistical and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 David Lüdke , Enric Rabasseda Raventós , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

A kernel-based framework for spatio-temporal data analysis is introduced that applies in situations when the underlying system dynamics are governed by a dynamic equation. The key ingredient is a representer theorem that involves…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Oleg Szehr , Dario Azzimonti , Laura Azzimonti

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

In contrast to current state-of-the-art methods, such as NSFP [25], which employ deep implicit neural functions for modeling scene flow, we present a novel approach that utilizes classical kernel representations. This representation enables…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Xueqian Li , Simon Lucey
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