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Point processes offer a versatile framework for sequential event modeling. However, the computational challenges and constrained representational power of the existing point process models have impeded their potential for wider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Zheng Dong , Zekai Fan , Shixiang Zhu

Standard kernels such as Mat\'ern or RBF kernels only encode simple monotonic dependencies within the input space. Spectral mixture kernels have been proposed as general-purpose, flexible kernels for learning and discovering more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Sami Remes , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have attracted significant attention as an elegant model that is able to capture the balance between quality and diversity within sets. DPPs are parameterized by a positive semi-definite kernel matrix.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Mike Gartrell , Elvis Dohmatob , Jon Alberdi

Predictive models in acute care settings must be able to immediately recognize precipitous changes in a patient's status when presented with data reflecting such changes. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have become common for training and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-30 David Ledbetter , Eugene Laksana , Melissa Aczon , Randall Wetzel

In this study, we propose a novel deep spatio-temporal point process model, Deep Kernel Mixture Point Processes (DKMPP), that incorporates multimodal covariate information. DKMPP is an enhanced version of Deep Mixture Point Processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Yixuan Zhang , Quyu Kong , Feng Zhou

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

Learning temporal interaction networks(TIN) is previously regarded as a coarse-grained multi-sequence prediction problem, ignoring the network topology structure influence. This paper addresses this limitation and a Deep Graph Neural Point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Su Chen , Xiaohua Qi , Xixun Lin , Yanmin Shang , Xiaolin Xu , Yangxi Li

We propose a data-driven framework to learn interaction kernels in stochastic multi-agent systems. Our approach aims at identifying the functional form of nonlocal interaction and diffusion terms directly from trajectory data, without any a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Giacomo Albi , Alessandro Alla , Elisa Calzola

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

In this paper we consider point processes specified on directed linear networks, i.e. linear networks with associated directions. We adapt the so-called conditional intensity function used for specifying point processes on the time line to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Jakob G. Rasmussen , Heidi S. Christensen

Cox processes model overdispersed point process data via a latent stochastic intensity, but both nonparametric estimation of the intensity model and posterior inference over intensity paths are typically intractable, relying on expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Xinlong Du , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak Rao

Learning models of dynamical systems characterized by specific stability properties is of crucial importance in applications. Existing results mainly focus on linear systems or some limited classes of nonlinear systems and stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Matteo Scandella , Michelangelo Bin , Thomas Parisini

Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yalong Lyu , Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

Modern high-dimensional point process data, especially those from neuroscience experiments, often involve observations from multiple conditions and/or experiments. Networks of interactions corresponding to these conditions are expected to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-27 Xu Wang , Ali Shojaie

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

This paper introduces a novel framework for modeling temporal events with complex longitudinal dependency that are generated by dependent sources. This framework takes advantage of multidimensional point processes for modeling time of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-04 Seyed Abbas Hosseini , Ali Khodadadi , Soheil Arabzade , Hamid R. Rabiee

The use of covariance kernels is ubiquitous in the field of spatial statistics. Kernels allow data to be mapped into high-dimensional feature spaces and can thus extend simple linear additive methods to nonlinear methods with higher order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-16 Jean-Francois Ton , Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic , Samir Bhatt

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been used extensively and with increasing success to model various types of sequential data. Much of this progress has been achieved through devising recurrent units and architectures with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-06 Yacine Jernite , Edouard Grave , Armand Joulin , Tomas Mikolov

Gaussian processes have become a popular tool for nonparametric regression because of their flexibility and uncertainty quantification. However, they often use stationary kernels, which limit the expressiveness of the model and may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness

Temporal point processes are the dominant paradigm for modeling sequences of events happening at irregular intervals. The standard way of learning in such models is by estimating the conditional intensity function. However, parameterizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Oleksandr Shchur , Marin Biloš , Stephan Günnemann