Related papers: The Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process under volatility un…
In this paper, we consider the stochastic optimal control problems under model risk caused by uncertain volatilities. To have a mathematical consistent framework we use the notion of G-expectation and its corresponding G-Brwonian motion…
In this paper, we propose a stochastic process, which is a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process with Hawkes jumps. It can be seen as a generalization of the classical Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process and the classical Hawkes process with exponential…
We provide sufficient conditions for the existence of invariant probability measures for generic stochastic differential equations with finite time delay. This is achieved by means of the Krylov-Bogoliubov method. Furthermore, we focus on…
We introduce a general framework for Markov decision problems under model uncertainty in a discrete-time infinite horizon setting. By providing a dynamic programming principle we obtain a local-to-global paradigm, namely solving a local,…
In this paper, we introduce a Markov process whose unique invariant distribution is the Curie-Weiss model of self-organized criticality (SOC) we designed in arXiv:1301.6911. In the Gaussian case, we prove rigorously that it is a dynamical…
This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of suitably time-modulated Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed kernels in a nearly unstable regime. We show that, under appropriate scaling, both the intensity processes and the rescaled Hawkes…
In the paper written by Klibanov et al, it proposes a novel method to calculate implied volatility of a European stock options as a solution to ill-posed inverse problem for the Black-Scholes equation. In addition, it proposes a trading…
Kinetic equations play a major rule in modeling large systems of interacting particles. Recently the legacy of classical kinetic theory found novel applications in socio-economic and life sciences, where processes characterized by large…
Properties of arrival times are studied for a Cox process with independent (and stationary) increments. Under a reasonable setting the directing random measure is shown to take over independent (and stationary) increments of the process,…
In this paper, we consider the Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process in the regime where the process does not hit zero. We construct additive and multiplicative discrete approximation schemes for the price of asset that is modeled by the CIR…
The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…
These notes survey some aspects of discrete-time chaotic calculus and its applications, based on the chaos representation property for i.i.d. sequences of random variables. The topics covered include the Clark formula and predictable…
In this paper, we study the pricing of contracts in fixed income markets under volatility uncertainty in the sense of Knightian uncertainty or model uncertainty. The starting point is an arbitrage-free bond market under volatility…
We study the long-time behavior of the dynamics of interacting planar Brow-nian particles, confined by an external field and subject to a singular pair repulsion. The invariant law is an exchangeable Boltzmann -- Gibbs measure. For a…
In this paper, we propose a new model to address the problem of negative interest rates that preserves the analytical tractability of the original Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model without introducing a shift to the market interest rates,…
This paper studies theory and inference related to a class of time series models that incorporates nonlinear dynamics. It is assumed that the observations follow a one-parameter exponential family of distributions given an accompanying…
We develop a novel observation-driven model for high-frequency prices. We account for irregularly spaced observations, simultaneous transactions, discreteness of prices, and market microstructure noise. The relation between trade durations…
In this letter, we construct cusum change-point tests for the Hurst exponent and the volatility of a discretely observed fractional Brownian motion. As a statistical application of the functional Breuer-Major theorems by B\'egyn (2007) and…
This paper introduces a unified approach for modeling high-frequency financial data that can accommodate both the continuous-time jump-diffusion and discrete-time realized GARCH model by embedding the discrete realized GARCH structure in…
In this paper the fractional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process on $\mathbb{R}_+$ for $H<1/2$ is defined as a square of a pointwise limit of the processes $Y_{\varepsilon}$, satisfying the SDE of the form $d Y_{\varepsilon}(t)=( \frac{k}{…