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Related papers: Bayesian hierarchical modelling for battery lifeti…

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We consider the task of controlling a battery while balancing two competing objectives that evolve over different time scales. The short-term objective, such as arbitrage or load smoothing, improves with more battery cycling, while the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-15 Obidike Nnorom , Giray Ogut , Stephen Boyd , Philip Levis

Lithium-ion batteries are ubiquitous in modern day applications ranging from portable electronics to electric vehicles. Irrespective of the application, reliable real-time estimation of battery state of health (SOH) by on-board computers is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Darius Roman , Saurabh Saxena , Valentin Robu , Michael Pecht , David Flynn

Hierarchical model fitting has become commonplace for case-control studies of cognition and behaviour in mental health. However, these techniques require us to formalise assumptions about the data-generating process at the group level,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Vincent Valton , Toby Wise , Oliver J. Robinson

Battery degradation significantly impacts the reliability and efficiency of energy storage systems, particularly in electric vehicles and industrial applications. Predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Jingyuan Xue , Xiaozhen Zhao , Dongjing Jiang , Qingchong Jiao , Redouane EL Bouchtaoui , Jianfei Zhang

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

We have developed a sophisticated statistical model for predicting the hitting performance of Major League baseball players. The Bayesian paradigm provides a principled method for balancing past performance with crucial covariates, such as…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Shane T. Jensen , Blake McShane , Abraham J. Wyner

The power spectrum of biomedical time series provides important indirect measurements of physiological processes underlying health and biological functions. However, simultaneously characterizing power spectra for multiple time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Rebecca Lee , Alexander Coulter , Greg J. Siegle , Scott A. Bruce , Anirban Bhattacharya

Standard evaluations of Bayesian deep learning methods assume that metric estimates are reliable, but we show this assumption fails under data scarcity. Method rankings are not only unreliable at small $n$, but also dataset-dependent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Qishi Zhan , Minxuan Hu , Guansu Wang , Jiaxin Liu , Liang He

Estimating the State of Health (SOH) of batteries is crucial for ensuring the reliable operation of battery systems. Since there is no practical way to instantaneously measure it at run time, a model is required for its estimation.…

In many scenarios, the observational data needed for causal inferences are spread over two data files. In particular, we consider scenarios where one file includes covariates and the treatment measured on one set of individuals, and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Sharmistha Guha , Jerome P. Reiter , Andrea Mercatanti

Battery degradation modes influence the aging behavior of Li-ion batteries, leading to accelerated capacity loss and potential safety issues. Quantifying these aging mechanisms poses challenges for both online and offline diagnostics in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-16 Yuanhao Cheng , Hanyu Bai , Yichen Liang , Xiaofan Cui , Weiren Jiang , Ziyou Song

Physico-chemical continuum battery models are typically parameterized by manual fits, relying on the individual expertise of researchers. In this article, we introduce a computer algorithm that directly utilizes the experience of battery…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-08 Yannick Kuhn , Hannes Wolf , Arnulf Latz , Birger Horstmann

Physics-based battery modelling has emerged to accelerate battery materials discovery and performance assessment. Its success, however, is still hindered by difficulties in aligning models to experimental data. Bayesian approaches are a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Yannick Kuhn , Masaki Adachi , Micha Philipp , David A. Howey , Birger Horstmann

Recent methods have been developed to map single-cell lineage statistics to population growth. Because population growth selects for exponentially rare phenotypes, these methods inherently depend on sampling large deviations from finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-16 Trevor GrandPre , Ethan Levien , Ariel Amir

Accurate prediction of the state-of-health (SOH) of lithium-ion batteries is essential for ensuring the safety, reliability, and efficient operation of electric vehicles (EVs). Battery packs in EVs experience nonuniform degradation due to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-17 Minsu Kim , Jaehyun Oh , Sang-Young Lee , Junghwan Kim

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Capacity degradation of lithium-ion batteries under long-term cyclic aging is modelled via a flexible sigmoidal-type regression set-up, where the regression parameters can be interpreted. Different approaches known from the literature are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-31 Marcus Johnen , Simon Pitzen , Udo Kamps , Maria Kateri , Dirk Uwe Sauer

A key aspect for the forklifts is the state-of-health (SoH) assessment to ensure the safety and the reliability of uninterrupted power source. Forecasting the battery SoH well is imperative to enable preventive maintenance and hence to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Matti Huotari , Shashank Arora , Avleen Malhi , Kary Främling

Batteries can effectively improve the security of energy systems and mitigate climate change by facilitating wind and solar power. The installed capacity of battery energy storage system (BESS), mainly the lithium ion batteries are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-23 Cunzhi Zhao , Xingpeng Li

Ecologists increasingly rely on Bayesian methods to fit capture-recapture models. Capture-recapture models are used to estimate abundance while accounting for imperfect detectability in individual-level data. A variety of implementations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-01 Mevin B Hooten , Michael R Schwob , Devin S Johnson , Jacob S. Ivan