Related papers: On the upper tail large deviation rate function fo…
Consider a Markov process \omega_t at equilibrium and some event C (a subset of the state-space of the process). A natural measure of correlations in the process is the pairwise correlation \Pr[\omega_0,\omega_t \in C] - \Pr[\omega_0 \in…
We consider vertex percolation on pseudo-random $d-$regular graphs. The previous study by the second author established the existence of phase transition from small components to a linear (in $\frac{n}{d}$) sized component, at…
We study the lower tail large deviation problem for subgraph counts in a random graph. Let $X_H$ denote the number of copies of $H$ in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$. We are interested in estimating the lower tail…
We consider percolation on the discrete torus $\mathbb{Z}_n^d$ at $p_c(\mathbb{Z}^d)$, the critical value for percolation on the corresponding infinite lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$, and within the scaling window around it. We assume that $d$ is a…
We answer a question of Ahlberg and Steif (2014) by finding the tail behaviour of the crossing probability in near-critical planar percolation. Interestingly, this superexponentially small behaviour is different from the case of dynamical…
We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…
Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…
We consider the Gaussian free field $\varphi$ on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ for $d \geq 3$ and study the level sets $\{\varphi \geq h \}$ in the percolating regime. We prove upper and lower bounds for the probability that the chemical distance is much…
The intrinsic geometry of the critical percolation cluster induced by the level set of the metric Gaussian free field on $\mathbb{Z}^{d}$ has been the subject of much recent activity. (Lupu, 2016) established that the critical percolation…
We consider the $n$-component $|\varphi|^4$ lattice spin model ($n \ge 1$) and the weakly self-avoiding walk ($n=0$) on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, in dimensions $d=1,2,3$. We study long-range models based on the fractional Laplacian, with spin-spin…
In this paper, we obtain optimal uniform lower tail estimates for the probability distribution of the properly scaled length of the longest up/right path of the last passage site percolation model considered by Johansson in [12]. The…
We study independent long-range percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ for all dimensions $d$, where the vertices $u$ and $v$ are connected with probability 1 for $\|u-v\|_\infty=1$ and with probability $p(\beta,\{u,v\})=1-e^{-\beta…
Let M_n denote the number of sites in the largest cluster in critical site percolation on the triangular lattice inside a box side length n. We give lower and upper bounds on the probability that M_n / E(M_n) > x of the form exp(- C…
Given a fixed graph H, what is the (exponentially small) probability that the number X_H of copies of H in the binomial random graph G_{n,p} is at least twice its mean? Studied intensively since the mid 1990s, this so-called infamous upper…
We consider the standard first passage percolation model in $\ZZ^d$ for $d\geq 2$ and we study the maximal flow from the upper half part to the lower half part (respectively from the top to the bottom) of a cylinder whose basis is a…
We study large deviations asymptotics for a class of unbounded additive functionals, interpreted as normalized accumulated areas, of one-dimensional Langevin diffusions with sub-linear gradient drifts. Our results provide parametric…
We identify the upper large deviation probability for the number of edges in scale-free geometric random graph models as the space volume goes to infinity. Our result covers the models of scale-free percolation, the Boolean model with…
The "infamous upper tail problem" for $r$-uniform hypergraphs is to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a fixed hypergraph $H$ in a large binomial $r$-uniform hypergraph $\boldsymbol{G}$ exceeds its expectation by a…
We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ and a sequence of i.i.d. $X$-valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$, and give a good estimate on the tail behaviour of $\sup\limits_{f\in\Cal…
The upper tail problem for the largest eigenvalue of the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ is to estimate the probability that the largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix of $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ exceeds its typical value…