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We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Remco van der Hofstad , Harsha Honnappa

We consider inhomogeneous spatial random graphs on the real line. Each vertex carries an i.i.d. weight and edges are drawn such that short edges and edges to vertices with large weights occur with higher probability. This allows the study…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Peter Gracar , Lukas Lüchtrath , Christian Mönch

Branching Processes in a Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z_n:n\geq0)$ are a generalization of Galton Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. We determine here the upper large…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-09 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

We study independent long-range percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ where the vertices $u$ and $v$ are connected with probability asymptotic to $\frac{\beta}{\|u-v\|^{2d}}$ for $\|u-v\|_\infty\geq 2$ and with probability 1 for $\|u-v\|_\infty=1$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Johannes Bäumler

We consider bond percolation on random graphs with given degrees and bounded average degree. In particular, we consider the order of the largest component after the random deletion of the edges of such a random graph. We give a rough…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-01-12 Nikolaos Fountoulakis , Felix Joos , Guillem Perarnau

We consider the large deviations at the order of the variance for the central value of a family of $L$-functions among the members with bounded discriminant. When there is an upper bound on an integer moment of the central value twisted by…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 N. Creighton

Large deviation behavior of the largest eigenvalue $\lambda_1$ of Gaussian networks (Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ with i.i.d. Gaussian weights on the edges) has been the topic of considerable interest. Recently in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-17 Shirshendu Ganguly , Kyeongsik Nam

In this paper, we study large time large deviations for the height function $\mathfrak{h}(x,t)$ of the $q$-deformed polynuclear growth introduced in ABW22 [arXiv:2108.06018]. We show that the upper-tail deviations have speed $t$ and derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Sayan Das , Yuchen Liao , Matteo Mucciconi

Gaussian percolation can be seen as the generalization of standard Bernoulli percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. Instead of a random discrete configuration on a lattice, we consider a continuous Gaussian field $f$ and we study the topological…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-31 David Vernotte

We study the long range percolation model on $\mathbb{Z}$ where sites $i$ and $j$ are connected with probability $\beta |i-j|^{-s}$. Graph distances are now well understood for all exponents $s$ except in the case $s=2$ where the model…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-10 Jian Ding , Allan Sly

We consider instances of long-range percolation on $\mathbb Z^d$ and $\mathbb R^d$, where points at distance $r$ get connected by an edge with probability proportional to $r^{-s}$, for $s\in (d,2d)$, and study the asymptotic of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Marek Biskup , Jeffrey Lin

Consider two independent Poisson point processes of unit intensity in the Euclidean space of dimension $d$ at least 3. We construct a perfect matching between the two point sets that is a factor (i.e., an equivariant measurable function of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Adam Timar

We prove precise deviations results in the sense of Cram\'er and Petrov for the upper tail of the distribution of the maximal value for a special class of determinantal point processes that play an important role in random matrix theory.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-22 Peter Eichelsbacher , Thomas Kriecherbauer , Katharina Schüler

We consider random interlacements on $ \mathbb{Z}^d$, $d \ge 3$, when their vacant set is in a strongly percolative regime. Given a large box centered at the origin, we establish an asymptotic upper bound on the exponential rate of decay of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-03 Alain-Sol Sznitman

We consider a long-range percolation graph on $\mathbb Z^d$ where, in addition to the nearest-neighbor edges of $\mathbb Z^d$, distinct $x,y\in\mathbb Z^d$ are connected by an edge independently with probability asymptotic to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Marek Biskup , Andrew Krieger

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

We study Mandelbrot's percolation process in dimension $d \geq 2$. The process generates random fractal sets by an iterative procedure which starts by dividing the unit cube $[0,1]^d$ in $N^d$ subcubes, and independently retaining or…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-22 Erik I. Broman , Federico Camia

We prove large deviation results for the position of the rightmost particle, denoted by $M_n$, in a one-dimensional branching random walk in a case when Cram\'er's condition is not satisfied. More precisely we consider step size…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Thomas Höfelsauer

Given a branching random walk $(Z_n)_{n\geq0}$ on $\mathbb{R}$, let $Z_n(A)$ be the number of particles located in interval $A$ at generation $n$. It is well known (e.g., \cite{biggins}) that under some mild conditions, $Z_n(\sqrt…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Shuxiong Zhang

We study level-set percolation for Gaussian free fields on metric graphs. In two dimensions, we give an upper bound on the chemical distance between the two boundaries of a macroscopic annulus. Our bound holds with high probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Jian Ding , Mateo Wirth