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Spatially-explicit estimates of population density, together with appropriate estimates of uncertainty, are required in many management contexts. Density Surface Models (DSMs) are a two-stage approach for estimating spatially-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-25 Mark V Bravington , David L Miller , Sharon L Hedley

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are essential for making reliable predictions about latent functions from noisy data, and thus, a key enabler for safe learning-based control. In this domain, kernel methods such as Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Amon Lahr , Anna Scampicchio , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Missing data is pervasive in econometric applications, and rarely is it plausible that the data are missing (completely) at random. This paper proposes a methodology for studying the robustness of results drawn from incomplete datasets.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-29 Daniel Ober-Reynolds

Risk assessment is a central element for the development and validation of Autonomous Vehicles (AV). It comprises a combination of occurrence probability and severity of future critical events. Time Headway (TH) as well as Time-To-Contact…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Tim Puphal , Malte Probst , Julian Eggert

Travel time is one of the key indicators monitored by intelligent transportation systems, helping the systems to gain real-time insights into traffic situations, predict congestion, and identify network bottlenecks. Travel time exhibits…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-07 Ruiya Chen , Xiangdong Xu , Jianqiang Li

Autonomous vehicles rely on accurate trajectory prediction to inform decision-making processes related to navigation and collision avoidance. However, current trajectory prediction models show signs of overfitting, which may lead to unsafe…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Jeroen Hagenus , Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Julian F. Schumann , Arkady Zgonnikov

Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization (DD-DRO) via optimal transport has been shown to encompass a wide range of popular machine learning algorithms. The distributional uncertainty size is often shown to correspond to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-12 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang , Fan Zhang , Fei He , Zhangyi Hu

Dependency functions of dependent variables are relevant for i) performing uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis in presence of dependent variables and/or correlated variables, and ii) simulating random dependent variables. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Matieyendou Lamboni

Online map generation and trajectory prediction are critical components of the autonomous driving perception-prediction-planning pipeline. While modern vectorized mapping models achieve high geometric accuracy, they typically treat map…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Pritom Gogoi , Faris Janjoš , Bin Yang , Andreas Look

The Robust Markov Decision Process (RMDP) framework focuses on designing control policies that are robust against the parameter uncertainties due to the mismatches between the simulator model and real-world settings. An RMDP problem is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Kishan Panaganti , Dileep Kalathil

Monitoring and control of traffic networks represent alternative, inexpensive strategies to minimize traffic congestion. As the number of traffic sensors is naturally constrained by budgetary requirements, real-time estimation of traffic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Sebastian A. Nugroho , Ahmad F. Taha , Christian Claudel

Accurate uncertainty quantification of model predictions is a crucial problem in machine learning. Existing Bayesian methods, being highly iterative, are expensive to implement and often fail to accurately capture a model's true posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Rishabh Singh , Jose C. Principe

Distance covariance and distance correlation have long been regarded as natural measures of dependence between two random vectors, and have been used in a variety of situations for testing independence. Despite their popularity, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Hallin Marc , Davide La Vecchia , Hang Liu , Xinyi Xu

Couplings in complex real-world systems are often nonlinear and scale-dependent. In many cases, it is crucial to consider a multitude of interlinked variables and the strengths of their correlations to adequately fathom the dynamics of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-10-26 Tobias Braun , K. Hauke Kraemer , Norbert Marwan

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

This paper addresses the transmission network expansion planning problem under uncertain demand and generation capacity. A two-stage adaptive robust optimization framework is adopted whereby the worst-case operating cost is accounted for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Cristina Roldán , Roberto Mínguez , Raquel García-Bertrand , José Manuel Arroyo

We propose a novel statistical test to assess the mutual independence of multidimensional random vectors. Our approach is based on the $L_1$-distance between the joint density function and the product of the marginal densities associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Nour-Eddine Berrahou , Salim Bouzebda , Lahcen Douge

We propose a stochastic reachability computation framework for occupancy prediction in automated driving by directly solving the underlying transport partial differential equation governing the advection of the closed-loop joint density…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Shadi Haddad , Abhishek Halder , Baljeet Singh

In this paper, we address the problem of testing independence between two high-dimensional random vectors. Our approach involves a series of max-sum tests based on three well-known classes of rank-based correlations. These correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-04 Hongfei Wang , Binghui Liu , Long Feng

Measuring and testing the dependency between multiple random functions is often an important task in functional data analysis. In the literature, a model-based method relies on a model which is subject to the risk of model misspecification,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-25 Rui Miao , Xiaoke Zhang , Raymond K. W. Wong