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In this paper, by proposing two new kinds of distributional uncertainty sets, we explore robustness of distortion risk measures against distributional uncertainty. To be precise, we first consider a distributional uncertainty set which is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-15 Xiangyu Han , Yijun Hu , Ran Wang , Linxiao Wei

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

This paper studies distributionally robust optimization for a rich class of risk measures with ambiguity sets defined by $\phi$-divergences. The risk measures are allowed to be non-linear in probabilities, are represented by Choquet…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Guanyu Jin , Roger J. A. Laeven , Dick den Hertog

We present a robust and precise localization system that achieves centimeter-level localization accuracy in disparate city scenes. Our system adaptively uses information from complementary sensors such as GNSS, LiDAR, and IMU to achieve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Guowei Wan , Xiaolong Yang , Renlan Cai , Hao Li , Hao Wang , Shiyu Song

Testing conditional independence between two random vectors given a third is a fundamental and challenging problem in statistics, particularly in multivariate nonparametric settings due to the complexity of conditional structures. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-28 Chenxuan He , Yuan Gao , Liping Zhu , Jian Huang

We study the problem of identifying the set of \emph{active} variables, termed in the literature as \emph{variable selection} or \emph{multiple hypothesis testing}, depending on the pursued criteria. For a general \emph{robust setting} of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Eduard Belitser , Nurzhan Nurushev

Robustness has been extensively studied in reinforcement learning (RL) to handle various forms of uncertainty such as random perturbations, rare events, and malicious attacks. In this work, we consider one critical type of robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Wenhao Ding , Laixi Shi , Yuejie Chi , Ding Zhao

The RV coefficient measures the similarity between two multivariate configurations, and its significance testing has attracted various proposals in the last decades. We present a new approach, the invariant orthogonal integration,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 François Bavaud

Excitation energy transfer in light-harvesting aggregates is highly efficient, yet whether quantum coherence plays an operational role in transport remains debated. A central challenge is that coherence is usually inferred from…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-11 Julia Liebert , Gregory D. Scholes

The multivariate Hilbert-Schmidt-Independence-Criterion (dHSIC) and distance multivariance allow to measure and test independence of an arbitrary number of random vectors with arbitrary dimensions. Here we define versions which only depend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Björn Böttcher

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

A fundamental task in statistical learning is quantifying the joint dependence or association between two continuous random variables. We introduce a novel, fully non-parametric measure that assesses the degree of association between…

When a statistical model $\{P_{\theta} : \theta \in \Theta\}$ lacks analytically tractable likelihoods, parametric statistical inference based on data generated from an unknown underlying distribution $P$ can still be performed as long as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Peter Matthew Jacobs , Lekha Patel , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Random processes play a crucial role in scientific research, often characterized by distribution functions or probability density functions (PDFs). These PDFs serve as essential approximations of the actual and frequently undisclosed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Nico Schick

Development of robust dynamical systems and networks such as autonomous aircraft systems capable of accomplishing complex missions faces challenges due to the dynamically evolving uncertainties coming from model uncertainties, necessity to…

This work studies an explicit embedding of the set of probability measures into a Hilbert space, defined using optimal transport maps from a reference probability density. This embedding linearizes to some extent the 2-Wasserstein space,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-05 Quentin Mérigot , Alex Delalande , Frédéric Chazal

Statistical dependence measures like mutual information is ideal for analyzing autoencoders, but it can be ill-posed for deterministic, static, noise-free networks. We adopt the variational (Gaussian) formulation that makes dependence among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Bo Hu , Jose C Principe

Robust optimization is a method for optimization under uncertainties in engineering systems and designs for applications ranging from aeronautics to nuclear. In a robust design process, parameter variability (or uncertainty) is incorporated…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-17 Richa Verma , Dinesh Kumar , Kazuma Kobayashi , Syed Alam

Accurate and robust trajectory predictions of road users are needed to enable safe automated driving. To do this, machine learning models are often used, which can show erratic behavior when presented with previously unseen inputs. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Manuel Muñoz Sánchez , Emilia Silvas , Jos Elfring , René van de Molengraft

Randomness or mutual independence is a fundamental assumption forming the basis of statistical inference across disciplines such as economics, finance, and management. Consequently, validating this assumption is essential for the reliable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Shriya Gehlot , Arnab Kumar Laha