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The primary research questions of this paper center on defining the amount of context that is necessary and/or appropriate when investigating the relationship between language model probabilities and cognitive phenomena. We investigate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Cassandra L. Jacobs , Andrés Buxó-Lugo , Anna K. Taylor , Marie Leopold-Hooke

We explore the relationship between possibility measures (supremum preserving normed measures) and p-boxes (pairs of cumulative distribution functions) on totally preordered spaces, extending earlier work in this direction by De Cooman and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-04 Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Enrique Miranda , Sebastien Destercke

In this paper, we study the conjunction of possibility measures when they are interpreted as coherent upper probabilities, that is, as upper bounds for some set of probability measures. We identify conditions under which the minimum of two…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Enrique Miranda , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Sebastien Destercke

Three events in a probability space form a conjunctive fork if they satisfy specific constraints on conditional independence and covariances. Patterns of conjunctive forks within collections of events are characterized by means of systems…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Vašek Chvátal , František Matúš , Yori Zwólš

The definition of the conditional probability is very important in the theory of the probability. This definition is based on the fact, that random events can be simultaneously measurable. This paper deal with the problem of conditioning…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Olga Nanasiova

We give an elementary proof of the fact that a binomial random variable $X$ with parameters $n$ and $0.29/n \le p < 1$ with probability at least $1/4$ strictly exceeds its expectation. We also show that for $1/n \le p < 1 - 1/n$, $X$…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-16 Benjamin Doerr

We develop a theory of estimation when in addition to a sample of $n$ observed outcomes the underlying probabilities of the observed outcomes are known, as is typically the case in the context of numerical simulation modeling, e.g. in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Jobst Heitzig

The probabilities of point events in space 3 + 1 obey an equation of Dirac type. Masses, moments, energies, spins, etc. are the parameters of the probability distribution of such events. The terms and equations of quark-gluon theories turn…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-10-02 G. Quznetsov

We determine the probability distribution for relative projective objects in an exceptional sequence of type $A_n$ of any length. We show that these events (the $j$-th object in an exceptional sequence of length $k\le n$ being relatively…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Kiyoshi Igusa

For arbitrary two probability measures on real d-space with given means and variances (covariance matrices), we provide lower bounds for their total variation distance. In the one-dimensional case, a tight bound is given.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Tomohiro Nishiyama

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

The mutual information between two jointly distributed random variables $X$ and $Y$ is a functional of the joint distribution $P_{XY},$ which is sometimes difficult to handle or estimate. A coarser description of the statistical behavior of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Yanjun Han , Or Ordentlich , Ofer Shayevitz

When a planner must decide whether it has enough evidence to make a decision based on probability, it faces the sample size problem. Current planners using probabilities need not deal with this problem because they do not generate their…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Nathaniel G. Martin , James F. Allen

In this paper we consider a sequence of n coin tosses, whose outcome depends on the previous n-1 tosses. In particular, their distribution is not i.i.d. We compute the limiting distribution of this sequence using the method of images.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-15 Ritwik Mukherjee

R. Duncan Luce once mentioned in a conversation that he did not consider Kolmogorov's probability theory well-constructed because it treats stochastic independence as a "numerical accident," while it should be treated as a fundamental…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Ehtibar Dzhafarov

We study the probability that a random polynomial with integer coefficients is reducible when factored over the rational numbers. Using computer-generated data, we investigate a number of different models, including both monic and non-monic…

We consider the zeros of the sum of independent random polynomials as their degrees tend to infinity. Namely, let $p$ and $q$ be two independent random polynomials of degree $n$, whose roots are chosen independently from the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Sean O'Rourke , Tulasi Ram Reddy

Let $X$ be a random variable with distribution function $F,$ and $X_{1},X_{2},...,X_{n}$ are independent copies of $X.$ Consider the order statistics $X_{i:n},$ $i=1,2,...,n$ and denote $F_{i:n}(x)=P\{X_{i:n}\leq x\}.$ Using majorization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Ismihan Bairamov

We introduce the notion of a random mean generated by a random variable and give a construction of its expected value. We derive some sufficient conditions under which strong laws of large numbers and some limit theorems hold for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Pál Burai

We utilize quantum superposition principle to establish the improvable upper and lower bounds on the stronger uncertainty relation, i.e., the "weighted-like" sum of the variances of observables. Our bounds include some free parameters which…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-04-17 Jun Zhang , Yang Zhang , Chang-shui Yu
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