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Bayesian models provide a framework for probabilistic modelling of complex datasets. However, many of such models are computationally demanding especially in the presence of large datasets. On the other hand, in sensor network applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-06 Behnam Babagholami-Mohamadabadi , Sejong Yoon , Vladimir Pavlovic

Bayesian computation crucially relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In the case of massive data sets, running the Metropolis-Hastings sampler to draw from the posterior distribution becomes prohibitive due to the large…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-07 Roberto Casarin , Radu V. Craiu , Fabrizio Leisen

In this article, we consider the so-called modified Euler scheme for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by fractional Brownian motions (fBm) with Hurst parameter $\frac13<H<\frac12$. This is a first-order time-discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-13 Yanghui Liu , Samy Tindel

We investigate numerical approximations for the stochastic Burgers equation driven by an additive cylindrical fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H \in (\frac{1}{2}, 1)$. To discretize the continuous problem in space, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Yibo Wang , Wanrong Cao

We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-17 Yves Atchadé , Liwei Wang

Many inference problems involve inferring the number $N$ of components in some region, along with their properties $\{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i=1}^N$, from a dataset $\mathcal{D}$. A common statistical example is finite mixture modelling. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-15 Brendon J. Brewer

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with long-range correlations in time; it has been shown to be a useful model of anomalous diffusion. Here, we investigate the effects of mutual interactions in an ensemble of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-15 Jonathan House , Rashad Bakhshizada , Skirmantas Janušonis , Ralf Metzler , Thomas Vojta

Monte Carlo algorithms, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), are routinely used for Bayesian inference in generalized linear models; however, these algorithms are prohibitively slow in massive data…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-31 Nariankadu D. Shyamalkumar , Sanvesh Srivastava

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

Estimating model parameters of a general family of cure models is always a challenging task mainly due to flatness and multimodality of the likelihood function. In this work, we propose a fully Bayesian approach in order to overcome these…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Fotios Milienos

We present a novel Bayesian inference tool that uses a neural network to parameterise efficient Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) proposals. The target distribution is first transformed into a diagonal, unit variance Gaussian by a series of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Adam Moss

The F\"ollmer process is a Brownian motion conditioned to have a pre-specified distribution at time 1. This process can be interpreted as an "augmented" time-compressed version of the reverse stochastic differential equation (SDE) for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yuta Koike

We introduce a new method for analyzing midpoint discretizations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are frequently used in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling from a target measure $\pi \propto \exp(-V)$.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Matthew S. Zhang

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

We describe a numerical scheme for evaluating the posterior moments of Bayesian linear regression models with partial pooling of the coefficients. The principal analytical tool of the evaluation is a change of basis from coefficient space…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-01 Philip Greengard , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

The $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion (FBM for short) $B_t=((B_t^{(1)},...,B_t^{(d)}),t\in\mathbb{R})$ with Hurst exponent $\alpha$, $\alpha\in(0,1)$, is a $d$-dimensional centered, self-similar Gaussian process with covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-23 Jérémie Unterberger

Filtering---estimating the state of a partially observable Markov process from a sequence of observations---is one of the most widely studied problems in control theory, AI, and computational statistics. Exact computation of the posterior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Bhaskara Marthi , Hanna Pasula , Stuart Russell , Yuval Peres

Stochastic reaction network models are often used to explain and predict the dynamics of gene regulation in single cells. These models usually involve several parameters, such as the kinetic rates of chemical reactions, that are not…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-07 Thomas A. Catanach , Huy D. Vo , Brian Munsky

We address the problem of Bayesian inference for parameters in ordinary differential equation (ODE) models based on observational data. Conventional approaches in this setting typically rely on numerical solvers such as the Euler or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Shoji Toyota , Yuto Miyatake

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems under discrete observations. We use the discrete Fourier transform to convert our model into a truncated Gaussian sequence model, that is closely related to the classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan