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In this paper, we consider the problem of minimizing a linear functional subject to uncertain linear and bilinear matrix inequalities, which depend in a possibly nonlinear way on a vector of uncertain parameters. Motivated by recent results…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Mohammadreza Chamanbaz , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo , Venkatakrishnan Venkataramanan , Qing-Guo Wang

A control in feedback form is derived for linear quadratic, time-invariant optimal control problems subject to parabolic partial differential equations with coefficients depending on a countably infinite number of uncertain parameters. It…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Philipp A. Guth , Peter Kritzer , Karl Kunisch

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

We consider the one-dimensional quantum-statistical problem of interacting spin-less particles in an infinite deep potential valley and on a ring. Several limits for the applicability of the Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods were revealed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Z. Neda , Z. Dezso

Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

We study numerical integration of Lipschitz functionals on a Banach space by means of deterministic and randomized (Monte Carlo) algorithms. This quadrature problem is shown to be closely related to the problem of quantization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Steffen Dereich , Thomas Mueller-Gronbach , Klaus Ritter

This brief paper proposes an uncertainty quantification method for the periodic steady-state (PSS) analysis with both Gaussian and non-Gaussian variations. Our stochastic testing formulation for the PSS problem provides superior efficiency…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Zheng Zhang , Tarek A. El-Moselhy , Paolo Maffezzoni , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

We interpret uncertainty in a model for seismic wave propagation by treating the model parameters as random variables, and apply the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method to reduce the cost of approximating expected values of selected,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Marco Ballesio , Joakim Beck , Anamika Pandey , Laura Parisi , Erik von Schwerin , Raul Tempone

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for estimating integrals are attractive since the resulting estimators typically converge at a faster rate than pseudo-random Monte Carlo. However, they can be difficult to set up on arbitrary posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Tobias Schwedes , Ben Calderhead

Many quantum technologies rely on high-precision dynamics, which raises the question of how these are influenced by the experimental uncertainties that are always present in real-life settings. A standard approach in the literature to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-27 Mogens Dalgaard , Carrie A. Weidner , Felix Motzoi

In this study, we give an extension of Montanaro's arXiv/archive:1504.06987 quantum Monte Carlo method, tailored for computing expected values of random variables that exhibit infinite variance. This addresses a challenge in analyzing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-08 Jose Blanchet , Mario Szegedy , Guanyang Wang

When simulating a complex stochastic system, the behavior of output response depends on input parameters estimated from finite real-world data, and the finiteness of data brings input uncertainty into the system. The quantification of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-20 Helin Zhu , Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

We propose and analyze a quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) algorithm for efficient simulation of wave propagation modeled by the Helmholtz equation in a bounded region in which the refractive index is random and spatially heterogenous. Our focus is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-27 M. Ganesh , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

In this article we look at stochastic processes with uncertain parameters, and consider different ways in which information is obtained when carrying out observations. For example we focus on the case of a the random evolution of a traded…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Will Hicks

This paper is concerned with a lesser-studied problem in the context of model-based, uncertainty quantification (UQ), that of optimization/design/control under uncertainty. The solution of such problems is hindered not only by the usual…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-17 Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

Information-theory based variational principles have proven effective at providing scalable uncertainty quantification (i.e. robustness) bounds for quantities of interest in the presence of nonparametric model-form uncertainty. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Jeremiah Birrell , Luc Rey-Bellet

In this paper we propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by possibly unbounded additive disturbances and subject to probabilistic constraints. Constraints are treated in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We consider in this paper random batch interacting particle methods for solving the Poisson-Nernst-Planck (PNP) equations, and thus the Poisson-Boltzmann (PB) equation as the equilibrium, in the external unbounded domain. To justify the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Lei Li , Jian-Guo Liu , Yijia Tang
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