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This paper contributes to the study of optimal experimental design for Bayesian inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). We derive estimates for the parametric regularity of multivariate double integration…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Vesa Kaarnioja , Claudia Schillings

An uncertainty inequality is presented that establishes a lower limit for the product of the variance of the time-averaged intensity of a mode of a quantized electromagnetic field and the degree of its spatial localization. The lower limit…

Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

This paper deals with some of the methodologies used to construct polynomial surrogate models based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansions for applications to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in aerodynamic computations. A core…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-14 Eric Savin , Andrea Resmini , Jacques Peter

A multiscale numerical method is proposed for the solution of semi-linear elliptic stochastic partial differential equations with localized uncertainties and non-linearities, the uncertainties being modeled by a set of random parameters. It…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Anthony Nouy , Florent Pled

This paper proposes a novel uncertainty quantification framework for computationally demanding systems characterized by a large vector of non-Gaussian uncertainties. It combines state-of-the-art techniques in advanced Monte Carlo sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-05 Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen

This work is concerned with the propagation of uncertainty across coupled domain problems with high-dimensional random inputs. A stochastic model reduction approach based on low-rank separated representations is proposed for the partitioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Mohammad Hadigol , Alireza Doostan , Hermann G. Matthies , Rainer Niekamp

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

In this article we study examples of systematic biases that can occur in quantum Monte Carlo methods due to the accumulation of non-linear expectation values, and approaches by which these errors can be corrected. We begin with a study of…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2018-08-15 Nick S. Blunt , Ali Alavi , George H. Booth

Ab initio quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) is a state-of-the-art numerical approach for evaluating accurate expectation values of many-body wavefunctions. However, one of the major drawbacks that still hinders widespread QMC applications is the…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-07-17 Kousuke Nakano , Michele Casula , Giacomo Tenti

We address uncertainty quantification for Gaussian processes (GPs) under misspecified priors, with an eye towards Bayesian Optimization (BO). GPs are widely used in BO because they easily enable exploration based on posterior uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Willie Neiswanger , Aaditya Ramdas

The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has proven to be an effective variance-reduction statistical method for Uncertainty quantification in PDE models. It combines approximations at different levels of accuracy using a hierarchy of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-28 Santiago Badia , Jerrad Hampton , Javier Principe

We present novel Monte Carlo (MC) and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods to determine the unbiased covariance of random variables using h-statistics. The advantage of this procedure lies in the unbiased construction of the estimator's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Sharana Kumar Shivanand

Introducing inequality constraints in Gaussian process (GP) models can lead to more realistic uncertainties in learning a great variety of real-world problems. We consider the finite-dimensional Gaussian approach from Maatouk and Bay (2017)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Olivier Roustant

How to accurately quantify the uncertainty of stochastic dynamical responses affected by uncertain loads and structural parameters is an important issue in structural safety and reliability analysis. In this paper, the conditional…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Feng Wu , Yuelin Zhao , Li Zhu

In this work, we describe a Bayesian framework for reconstructing the boundaries of piecewise smooth regions in the X-ray computed tomography (CT) problem in an infinite-dimensional setting. In addition to the reconstruction, we are also…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Babak Maboudi Afkham , Yiqiu Dong , Per Christian Hansen

This paper presents a realistic, stochastic, and local model that reproduces nonrelativistic quantum mechanics (QM) results without using its mathematical formulation. The proposed model only uses integer-valued quantities and operations on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-01-17 Antonio Sciarretta

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi

We propose a novel distribution-free scheme to solve optimization problems where the goal is to minimize the expected value of a cost function subject to probabilistic constraints. Unlike standard sampling-based methods, our idea consists…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Francesco Cordiano , Matin Jafarian , Bart De Schutter
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