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A striking result of [Acharya et al. 2017] showed that to estimate symmetric properties of discrete distributions, plugging in the distribution that maximizes the likelihood of observed multiset of frequencies, also known as the profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Yanjun Han , Kirankumar Shiragur

We study nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for two classes of multivariate distributions that imply strong forms of positive dependence; namely log-supermodular (MTP$_2$) distributions and log-$L^\#$-concave (LLC) distributions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-10 Elina Robeva , Bernd Sturmfels , Ngoc Tran , Caroline Uhler

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown impressive abilities in many applications. When a concrete and precise answer is desired, it is important to have a quantitative estimation of the potential error rate. However, this can be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Theodore Zhao , Mu Wei , J. Samuel Preston , Hoifung Poon

We derive a novel variational expectation maximization approach based on truncated posterior distributions. Truncated distributions are proportional to exact posteriors within subsets of a discrete state space and equal zero otherwise. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-12 Jörg Lücke

We consider nonparametric maximum-likelihood estimation of a log-concave density in case of interval-censored, right-censored and binned data. We allow for the possibility of a subprobability density with an additional mass at $+\infty$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-15 Lutz Duembgen , Kaspar Rufibach , Dominic Schuhmacher

Gradually Truncated Log-normal distribution - Size distribution of firms Abstract Many natural and economical phenomena are described through power law or log- normal distributions. In these cases, probability decreases very slowly with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Hari M. Gupta , Jose R. Campanha

We develop and analyze methods for computing provably optimal {\em maximum a posteriori} (MAP) configurations for a subclass of Markov random fields defined on graphs with cycles. By decomposing the original distribution into a convex…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan S. Willsky

Three types of explicit estimators are proposed here to estimate the loss rates of the links in a network of the tree topology. All of them are derived by the maximum likelihood principle and proved to be either asymptotic unbiased or…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-03-28 Weiping Zhu

This study aims to introduce a new lifetime distribution, called the record-based transformed log-logistic distribution, to the literature. We obtain this distribution using a record-based transformation map based on the distributions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Caner Tanış

Software for computation of maximum likelihood estimates in linear structural equation models typically employs general techniques from non-linear optimization, such as quasi-Newton methods. In practice, careful tuning of initial values is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-12 Mathias Drton , Christopher Fox , Y. Samuel Wang

The maximum likelihood approach is adapted to the problem of estimation of drift and diffusion functions of stochastic processes from measured time series. We reconcile a previously devised iterative procedure [Kleinhans et al., Physics…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich

In this paper, we study two problems: (1) estimation of a $d$-dimensional log-concave distribution and (2) bounded multivariate convex regression with random design with an underlying log-concave density or a compactly supported…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Gil Kur , Yuval Dagan , Alexander Rakhlin

Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for logistic regression,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Hugo Chardon , Matthieu Lerasle , Jaouad Mourtada

Inference is typically intractable in high-treewidth undirected graphical models, making maximum likelihood learning a challenge. One way to overcome this is to restrict parameters to a tractable set, most typically the set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-02 Justin Domke

One of the most common anticipated difficulties in applying mainstream maximum likelihood inference upon extreme values is articulated on the scarcity of extreme observations for bringing the extreme value theorem to hold across a series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-28 Christopher Jeffree , Cláudia Neves

We find limiting distributions of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a log-concave density, that is, a density of the form $f_0=\exp\varphi_0$ where $\varphi_0$ is a concave function on $\mathbb{R}$. The pointwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Kaspar Rufibach , Jon A. Wellner

If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Charles J. Geyer

We study the smoothed log-concave maximum likelihood estimator of a probability distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This is a fully automatic nonparametric density estimator, obtained as a canonical smoothing of the log-concave maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-11 Yining Chen , Richard J. Samworth

In exploratory factor analysis, model parameters are usually estimated by maximum likelihood method. The maximum likelihood estimate is obtained by solving a complicated multivariate algebraic equation. Since the solution to the equation is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Ryoya Fukasaku , Kei Hirose , Yutaro Kabata , Keisuke Teramoto

Our primary aim is to find an estimate of the expected shortfall in various situations: (1) Nonparametric situation, when the probability distribution of the incurred loss is unknown, only satisfying some general conditions. Then, following…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Jana Jurečková , Jan Kalina , Jan Večeř