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High resolution simulations of incompressible flows have become routine across a range of engineering applications. Despite their routine use, due to the high dimensional parameter space present for most practical applications, a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-14 Christopher J. McDevitt , Eric Fowler , Subrata Roy

We develop a fast multi-fidelity modeling method for very complex correlations between high- and low-fidelity data by working in modal space to extract the proper correlation function. We apply this method to infer the amplitude of motion…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-03 Xuhui Meng , Zhicheng Wang , Dixia Fan , Michael Triantafyllou , George Em Karniadakis

The complex small-scale statistics of turbulence are a result of the combined cascading dynamics through all scales of the flow. Predicting these statistics using fully resolved simulations at the high Reynolds numbers that typically occur…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-01 Lukas Bentkamp , Michael Wilczek

Calculation of phase diagrams is one of the fundamental tools in alloy design---more specifically under the framework of Integrated Computational Materials Engineering. Uncertainty quantification of phase diagrams is the first step required…

We present a "module-based hybrid" Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) framework for general nonlinear multi-physics simulation. The proposed methodology, introduced in [\hyperlink{ref1}{1}], supports the independent development of each…

Computational Physics · Physics 2014-10-21 Akshay Mittal , Xiao Chen , Charles Tong , Gianluca Iaccarino

Multi-fidelity optimization methods promise a high-fidelity optimum at a cost only slightly greater than a low-fidelity optimization. This promise is seldom achieved in practice, due to the requirement that low- and high-fidelity models…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-01-29 Yu Zhang , Richard P. Dwight , Martin Schmelzer , Javier F. Gomez , Stefan Hickel , Zhong-hua Han

A modelling framework based on the resolvent analysis and machine learning is proposed to predict the turbulent energy in incompressible channel flows. In the framework, the optimal resolvent response modes are selected as the basis…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-03-11 Yitong Fan , Bo Chen , Weipeng Li

Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations are widely used in engineering turbulent flow simulations. However, RANS predictions may have large discrepancies due to the uncertainties in modeled Reynolds stresses. Recently, Wang et al.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-09-11 Jin-Long Wu , Heng Xiao , Eric Paterson

Predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling is quantified by using post-processing or Bayesian-based methods. The former methods are not straightforward and the latter ones are not distribution-free (i.e. assumptions on the probability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

Data-driven approaches offer novel opportunities for improving the performance of turbulent flow simulations, which are critical to wide-ranging applications from wind farms and aerodynamic designs to weather and climate forecasting. While…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-14 Xiao Xue , Shuo Wang , Hua-Dong Yao , Lars Davidson , Peter V. Coveney

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu

With increasing computational demand, Neural-Network (NN) based models are being developed as pre-trained surrogates for different thermohydraulics phenomena. An area where this approach has shown promise is in developing higher-fidelity…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-13 Cody Grogan , Som Dutta , Mauricio Tano , Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala , Izabela Gutowska

In the quest for advanced propulsion and power-generation systems, high-fidelity simulations are too computationally expensive to survey the desired design space, and a new design methodology is needed that combines engineering physics,…

The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress toward optimal engine designs requires accurate flow simulations together with uncertainty quantification. However,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-14 Xun Huan , Cosmin Safta , Khachik Sargsyan , Gianluca Geraci , Michael S. Eldred , Zachary P. Vane , Guilhem Lacaze , Joseph C. Oefelein , Habib N. Najm

Data-driven correction of turbulence models offers a promising route for improving Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) predictions, but quantifying uncertainty in such corrections and ensuring generalization across flows remain key…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-28 Tyler Buchanan , Ali Eidi , Richard P. Dwight

Machine learning techniques typically rely on large datasets to create accurate classifiers. However, there are situations when data is scarce and expensive to acquire. This is the case of studies that rely on state-of-the-art computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Francisco Sahli Costabal , Paris Perdikaris , Ellen Kuhl , Daniel E. Hurtado

Variational inference often struggles with the posterior geometry exhibited by complex hierarchical Bayesian models. Recent advances in flow-based variational families and Variationally Inferred Parameters (VIP) each address aspects of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Joohwan Ko , Justin Domke

In this article, we consider a stochastic numerical simulator to assess the impact of some factors on a phenomenon. The simulator is seen as a black box with inputs and outputs. The quality of a simulation, hereafter referred to as…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-27 Rémi Stroh , Séverine Demeyer , Nicolas Fischer , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

Turbulent flows consist of a wide range of interacting scales. Since the scale range increases as some power of the flow Reynolds number, a faithful simulation of the entire scale range is prohibitively expensive at high Reynolds numbers.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-24 Dhawal Buaria , Katepalli R. Sreenivasan

Emulating high-accuracy computationally expensive models is crucial for tasks requiring numerous model evaluations, such as uncertainty quantification and optimization. When lower-fidelity models are available, they can be used to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Katerina Giannoukou , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret