English

Model-Informed Flows for Bayesian Inference

Machine Learning 2025-11-06 v2 Machine Learning

Abstract

Variational inference often struggles with the posterior geometry exhibited by complex hierarchical Bayesian models. Recent advances in flow-based variational families and Variationally Inferred Parameters (VIP) each address aspects of this challenge, but their formal relationship is unexplored. Here, we prove that the combination of VIP and a full-rank Gaussian can be represented exactly as a forward autoregressive flow augmented with a translation term and input from the model's prior. Guided by this theoretical insight, we introduce the Model-Informed Flow (MIF) architecture, which adds the necessary translation mechanism, prior information, and hierarchical ordering. Empirically, MIF delivers tighter posterior approximations and matches or exceeds state-of-the-art performance across a suite of hierarchical and non-hierarchical benchmarks.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2505.24243,
  title  = {Model-Informed Flows for Bayesian Inference},
  author = {Joohwan Ko and Justin Domke},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.24243},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T02:49:56.035Z