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The lead-lag effect, where the price movement of one asset systematically precedes that of another, has been widely observed in financial markets and conveys valuable predictive signals for trading. However, traditional lead-lag detection…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Mihai Cucuringu , Zihao Zhang , Xiang Li , Jian Guo , Chao Zhang , Xiaowen Chu

We examine a general multi-factor model for commodity spot prices and futures valuation. We extend the multi-factor long-short model in Schwartz and Smith (2000) and Yan (2002) in two important aspects: firstly we allow for both the long…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-31 Gareth W. Peters , Mark Briers , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Arnaud Doucet

We study investment strategy in different models of financial markets, where the investors cannot reach a perfect knowledge about available assets. The investor spends a certain effort to get information; this allows him to better choose…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Andrea Capocci , Yi-Cheng Zhang

In dealing with high-dimensional data sets, factor models are often useful for dimension reduction. The estimation of factor models has been actively studied in various fields. In the first part of this paper, we present a new approach to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-27 Joongyeub Yeo , George Papanicolaou

This paper presents an innovative online portfolio selection model, situated within a meta-learning framework, that leverages a mixture policies strategy. The core idea is to simulate a fund that employs multiple fund managers, each skilled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Jiayu Shen , Jia Liu , Zhiping Chen

This paper extends quantile factor analysis to a probabilistic variant that incorporates regularization and computationally efficient variational approximations. We establish through synthetic and real data experiments that the proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-16 Dimitris Korobilis , Maximilian Schröder

Gradient descent for matrix factorization exhibits an implicit bias toward approximately low-rank solutions. While existing theories often assume the boundedness of iterates, empirically the bias persists even with unbounded sequences. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yikun Hou , Suvrit Sra , Alp Yurtsever

Integrating various data modalities brings valuable insights into underlying phenomena. Multimodal factor analysis (FA) uncovers shared axes of variation underlying different simple data modalities, where each sample is represented by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Małgorzata Łazęcka , Ewa Szczurek

Many vision-related tasks benefit from reasoning over multiple modalities to leverage complementary views of data in an attempt to learn robust embedding spaces. Most deep learning-based methods rely on a late fusion technique whereby…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Austin Reiter , Menglin Jia , Pu Yang , Ser-Nam Lim

This study presents a deep reinforcement learning approach for global hedging of long-term financial derivatives. A similar setup as in Coleman et al. (2007) is considered with the risk management of lookback options embedded in guarantees…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-31 Alexandre Carbonneau

Factor model is an appealing and effective analytic tool for high-dimensional time series, with a wide range of applications in economics, finance and statistics. This paper develops two criteria for the determination of the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-09 Yuefeng Han , Rong Chen , Cun-Hui Zhang

We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-20 Jordan Mann , J. Nathan Kutz

Data often comes in the form of an array or matrix. Matrix factorization techniques attempt to recover missing or corrupted entries by assuming that the matrix can be written as the product of two low-rank matrices. In other words, matrix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-16 Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Daniel M. Roy

Making consistently profitable financial decisions in a continuously evolving and volatile stock market has always been a difficult task. Professionals from different disciplines have developed foundational theories to anticipate price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ruoyu Guo , Haochen Qiu , Xuelun Hou

The problem of portfolio allocation in the context of stocks evolving in random environments, that is with volatility and returns depending on random factors, has attracted a lot of attention. The problem of maximizing a power utility at a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-29 Maxim Bichuch , Jean-Pierre Fouque

In this study, we have developed a dynamic asset allocation investment strategy using reinforcement learning techniques. To begin with, we have addressed the crucial issue of incorporating non-stationarity of financial time series data into…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-10 Yasuhiro Nakayama , Tomochika Sawaki

Alphas are stock prediction models capturing trading signals in a stock market. A set of effective alphas can generate weakly correlated high returns to diversify the risk. Existing alphas can be categorized into two classes: Formulaic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Can Cui , Wei Wang , Meihui Zhang , Gang Chen , Zhaojing Luo , Beng Chin Ooi

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

Forex trading is the largest market in terms of qutantitative trading. Traditionally, traders refer to technical analysis based on the historical data to make decisions and trade. With the development of artificial intelligent, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Yunze Li , Yanan Xie , Chen Yu , Fangxing Yu , Bo Jiang , Matloob Khushi

Financial forecasting plays an important role in making informed decisions for financial stakeholders, specifically in the stock exchange market. In a traditional setting, investors commonly rely on the equity research department for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Sahar Arshad , Seemab Latif , Ahmad Salman , Rabia Latif