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We propose a fast and flexible method to scale multivariate return volatility predictions up to high-dimensions using a dynamic risk factor model. Our approach increases parsimony via time-varying sparsity on factor loadings and is able to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Bruno P. C. Levy , Hedibert F. Lopes

Quantile Factor Models (QFM) represent a new class of factor models for high-dimensional panel data. Unlike Approximate Factor Models (AFM), where only location-shifting factors can be extracted, QFM also allow to recover unobserved factors…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-24 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo

There is a great number of factors to take into account when building and managing an investment portfolio. It is widely believed that a proper set-up of the portfolio combined with a good, robust management strategy is the key to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-28 Jarosław Gruszka , Janusz Szwabiński

How can graph theory be applied to investing in the stock market? The answer may help investors realize the true risks of their investments, help prevent recessions like that of 2008, and increase financial literacy amongst students. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-05 Joseph Attia

In the stochastic volatility models for multivariate daily stock returns, it has been found that the estimates of parameters become unstable as the dimension of returns increases. To solve this problem, we focus on the factor structure of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-16 Yuta Yamauchi , Yasuhiro Omori

Deep learning searches for nonlinear factors for predicting asset returns. Predictability is achieved via multiple layers of composite factors as opposed to additive ones. Viewed in this way, asset pricing studies can be revisited using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson

Learning multimodal representations is a fundamentally complex research problem due to the presence of multiple heterogeneous sources of information. Although the presence of multiple modalities provides additional valuable information,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Paul Pu Liang , Amir Zadeh , Louis-Philippe Morency , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Mixtures of factor analysers (MFA) models represent a popular tool for finding structure in data, particularly high-dimensional data. While in most applications the number of clusters, and especially the number of latent factors within…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-17 Margarita Grushanina , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter

Latent or unobserved phenomena pose a significant difficulty in data analysis as they induce complicated and confounding dependencies among a collection of observed variables. Factor analysis is a prominent multivariate statistical modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Armeen Taeb , Venkat Chandrasekaran

Explaining the predictions of neural black-box models is an important problem, especially when such models are used in applications where user trust is crucial. Estimating the influence of training examples on a learned neural model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Carolin Lawrence , Timo Sztyler , Mathias Niepert

As the Chinese stock market continues to evolve and its market structure grows increasingly complex, traditional quantitative trading methods are facing escalating challenges. Particularly, due to policy uncertainty and the frequent market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-18 Bohan Ma , Yushan Xue , Yuan Lu , Jing Chen

This paper studies a robust portfolio optimization problem under the multi-factor volatility model introduced by Christoffersen et al. (2009). The optimal strategy is derived analytically under the worst-case scenario with or without…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xiaoping Lu , Guiyuan Ma , Song-Ping Zhu

Graphical models are a powerful tool to estimate a high-dimensional inverse covariance (precision) matrix, which has been applied for a portfolio allocation problem. The assumption made by these models is a sparsity of the precision matrix.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-04 Tae-Hwy Lee , Ekaterina Seregina

There are inefficiencies in financial markets, with unexploited patterns in price, volume, and cross-sectional relationships. While many approaches use large-scale transformers, we take a domain-focused path: feed-forward and recurrent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Sid Ghatak , Arman Khaledian , Navid Parvini , Nariman Khaledian

Stock market prediction has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention from both economists and computer scientists. With the purpose of building an effective prediction model, both linear and machine learning tools have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Weiwei Jiang

Factor Analysis has traditionally been utilized across diverse disciplines to extrapolate latent traits that influence the behavior of multivariate observed variables. Historically, the focus has been on analyzing data from a single study,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Antonio Canale

Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Stefan Feuerriegel , Ralph Fehrer

Portfolio Selection is an important real-world financial task and has attracted extensive attention in artificial intelligence communities. This task, however, has two main difficulties: (i) the non-stationary price series and complex asset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Yifan Zhang , Peilin Zhao , Qingyao Wu , Bin Li , Junzhou Huang , Mingkui Tan

The role of portfolio construction in the implementation of equity market neutral factors is often underestimated. Taking the classical momentum strategy as an example, we show that one can significantly improve the main strategy's features…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-22 Stefano Ciliberti , Stanislao Gualdi

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-08 Vitor G. C. da Silva , Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , João B. M. Pereira