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A pervasive phenomenon in machine learning applications is distribution shift, where training and deployment conditions for a machine learning model differ. As distribution shift typically results in a degradation in performance, much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-23 Philip Amortila , Tongyi Cao , Akshay Krishnamurthy

Real-world machine learning applications may require functions that are fast-to-evaluate and interpretable. In particular, guaranteed monotonicity of the learned function can be critical to user trust. We propose meeting these goals for…

Enhancing the stability of machine learning algorithms under distributional shifts is at the heart of the Out-of-Distribution (OOD) Generalization problem. Derived from causal learning, recent works of invariant learning pursue strict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Jiashuo Liu , Jiayun Wu , Jie Peng , Xiaoyu Wu , Yang Zheng , Bo Li , Peng Cui

Learning monotonic models with respect to a subset of the inputs is a desirable feature to effectively address the fairness, interpretability, and generalization issues in practice. Existing methods for learning monotonic neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Xingchao Liu , Xing Han , Na Zhang , Qiang Liu

Plotting a learner's average performance against the number of training samples results in a learning curve. Studying such curves on one or more data sets is a way to get to a better understanding of the generalization properties of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Marco Loog , Tom Viering , Alexander Mey

We extend well-known comparative results under expected utility to models of non-expected utility by providing novel conditions on local utility functions. We illustrate how our results parallel, and are distinct from, existing results for…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-16 Collin Raymond , Yangwei Song

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

Regression analysis under the assumption of monotonicity is a well-studied statistical problem and has been used in a wide range of applications. However, there remains a lack of a broadly applicable methodology that permits information…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Christian Rohrbeck , Deborah A Costain

An interesting phenomenon arises: Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) sometimes outperforms methods specifically designed for out-of-distribution tasks. This motivates an investigation into the reasons behind such behavior beyond algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hong Zheng , Fei Teng

In this paper we show that the expected generalisation performance of a learning machine is determined by the distribution of risks or equivalently its logarithm -- a quantity we term the risk entropy -- and the fluctuations in a quantity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Dominic Belcher , Antonia Marcu , Adam Prügel-Bennett

The asymmetric switch process is a binary stochastic process that alternates between the values one and minus one, where the distributions of the time in these states may differ. Two versions of the process are considered: a non-stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Henrik Bengtsson , Krzysztof Podgorski

Nonparametric regression problems with qualitative constraints such as monotonicity or convexity are ubiquitous in applications. For example, in predicting the yield of a factory in terms of the number of labor hours, the monotonicity of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Soham Mallick , Siddhaarth Sarkar , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this paper, we consider the contextual robust optimization problem under an out-of-distribution setting. The contextual robust optimization problem considers a risk-sensitive objective function for an optimization problem with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Zhongze Cai , Hansheng Jiang , Xiaocheng Li

Learning with identical train and test distributions has been extensively investigated both practically and theoretically. Much remains to be understood, however, in statistical learning under distribution shifts. This paper focuses on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Omar Montasser , Han Shao , Emmanuel Abbe

For basic machine learning problems, expected error is used to evaluate model performance. Since the distribution of data is usually unknown, we can make simple hypothesis that the data are sampled independently and identically distributed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Xuli Shen , Qing Xu , Xiangyang Xue

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are used as an important tool in the data analysis of repeated measures and longitudinal studies. The most common form of LMMs utilize a normal distribution to model the random effects. Such assumptions can often…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-16 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

We consider so-called univariate unlinked (sometimes ``decoupled,'' or ``shuffled'') regression when the unknown regression curve is monotone. In standard monotone regression, one observes a pair $(X,Y)$ where a response $Y$ is linked to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-30 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Charles R. Doss , Cécile Durot

In real word applications, data generating process for training a machine learning model often differs from what the model encounters in the test stage. Understanding how and whether machine learning models generalize under such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-08 Abdulkadir Canatar , Blake Bordelon , Cengiz Pehlevan

As input data distributions evolve, the predictive performance of machine learning models tends to deteriorate. In practice, new input data tend to come without target labels. Then, state-of-the-art techniques model input data distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Carlos Mougan , Klaus Broelemann , David Masip , Gjergji Kasneci , Thanassis Thiropanis , Steffen Staab

Recognizing symmetries in data allows for significant boosts in neural network training, which is especially important where training data are limited. In many cases, however, the exact underlying symmetry is present only in an idealized…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-07 Seth Nabat , Aishik Ghosh , Edmund Witkowski , Gregor Kasieczka , Daniel Whiteson