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This paper establishes bounds on the performance of empirical risk minimization for large-dimensional linear regression. We generalize existing results by allowing the data to be dependent and heavy-tailed. The analysis covers both the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-23 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson

Autonomous systems with machine learning-based perception can exhibit unpredictable behaviors that are difficult to quantify, let alone verify. Such behaviors are convenient to capture in probabilistic models, but probabilistic model…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Matthew Cleaveland , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) extends the paradigm of classical RL algorithms to purely learning from static datasets, without interacting with the underlying environment during the learning process. A key challenge of offline RL is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Shentao Yang , Yihao Feng , Shujian Zhang , Mingyuan Zhou

Traditional machine learning paradigms are based on the assumption that both training and test data follow the same statistical pattern, which is mathematically referred to as Independent and Identically Distributed ($i.i.d.$). However, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Jiashuo Liu , Zheyan Shen , Yue He , Xingxuan Zhang , Renzhe Xu , Han Yu , Peng Cui

Shuffled regression and unlinked regression represent intriguing challenges that have garnered considerable attention in many fields, including but not limited to ecological regression, multi-target tracking problems, image denoising, etc.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Cecile Durot , Debarghya Mukherjee

While scaling laws provide a reliable methodology for predicting train loss across compute scales for a single data distribution, less is known about how these predictions should change as we change the distribution. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 David Brandfonbrener , Nikhil Anand , Nikhil Vyas , Eran Malach , Sham Kakade

This paper studies the class of logarithmically completely monotonic (LCM) functions. These functions play an important role in characterising externally positive linear systems which find applications in important control problems such as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Hamed Taghavian , Ross Drummond , Mikael Johansson

We investigate the in-context learning capabilities of transformers for the $d$-dimensional mixture of linear regression model, providing theoretical insights into their existence, generalization bounds, and training dynamics. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Yanhao Jin , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Lifeng Lai

Reduced-rank regression is a dimensionality reduction method with many applications. The asymptotic theory for reduced rank estimators of parameter matrices in multivariate linear models has been studied extensively. In contrast, few…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Efstathia Bura , Sabrina Duarte , Liliana Forzani , Ezequiel Smucler , Mariela Sued

For many real-life Bayesian networks, common knowledge dictates that the output established for the main variable of interest increases with higher values for the observable variables. We define two concepts of monotonicity to capture this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Linda C. van der Gaag , Hans L. Bodlaender , Ad Feelders

Stability issues with reinforcement learning methods persist. To better understand some of these stability and convergence issues involving deep reinforcement learning methods, we examine a simple linear quadratic example. We interpret the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Lingyi Yang

Random monotone operators are stochastic versions of maximal monotone operators which play an important role in stochastic nonsmooth optimization. Several stochastic nonsmooth optimization algorithms have been shown to converge to a zero of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Adil Salim

We study convex empirical risk minimization for high-dimensional inference in binary models. Our first result sharply predicts the statistical performance of such estimators in the linear asymptotic regime under isotropic Gaussian features.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

This paper studies the theoretical underpinnings of machine learning of ergodic It\^o diffusions. The objective is to understand the convergence properties of the invariant statistics when the underlying system of stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li

We study the problem of distribution shift generally arising in machine-learning augmented hybrid simulation, where parts of simulation algorithms are replaced by data-driven surrogates. We first establish a mathematical framework to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Jiaxi Zhao , Qianxiao Li

We present a proof of the monotonic entropy growth for a nonlinear discrete-time model of a random market. This model, based on binary collisions, also may be viewed as a particular case of Ulam's redistribution of energy problem. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-14 S. M. Apenko

We establish a collection of closed-loop guarantees and propose a scalable optimization algorithm for distributionally robust model predictive control (DRMPC) applied to linear systems, convex constraints, and quadratic costs. Via standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Robert D. McAllister , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

In most machine learning training paradigms a fixed, often handcrafted, loss function is assumed to be a good proxy for an underlying evaluation metric. In this work we assess this assumption by meta-learning an adaptive loss function to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Chen Huang , Shuangfei Zhai , Walter Talbott , Miguel Angel Bautista , Shih-Yu Sun , Carlos Guestrin , Josh Susskind

We consider the problem of linear fitting of noisy data in the case of broad (say $\alpha$-stable) distributions of random impacts ("noise"), which can lack even the first moment. This situation, common in statistical physics of small…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Eugene B. Postnikov , Igor M. Sokolov

We examine synchronization of identical chaotic systems coupled in a drive/response manner. A rigorous criterion is presented which, if satisfied, guarantees that synchronization to the driving trajectory is linearly stable to…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-30 Reggie Brown , Nikolai F. Rulkov
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