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Accurately modelling the Earth's climate has widespread applications ranging from forecasting local weather to understanding global climate change. Low-fidelity simulations of climate phenomena are readily available, but high-fidelity…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-17 Ben Hudson , Frederik Nijweide , Isaac Sebenius

Climate change alters ocean conditions, notably temperature and sea level. In the Bay of Bengal, these changes influence monsoon precipitation and marine productivity, critical to the Indian economy. In Phase 6 of the Coupled Model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 Abhishek Pasula , Deepak N. Subramani

We review the skill of thirty coupled climate models participating in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 in terms of reproducing properties of the seasonal cycle of precipitation over the major river basins of South and Southeast Asia…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-06-22 Shabeh ul Hasson , Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Jürgen Böhner

The CMIP3 multi-model ensemble spread most likely underestimates the real model uncertainty in future climate predictions because of the similarity, and shared defects, of the models in the ensemble. To generate an appropriate level of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-09-11 Stephen Jewson , Ed Hawkins

The increasing frequency of extreme temperature events, such as daily maximum temperature ($T_x$) records, underscores the need for robust tools to understand their drivers and predict their occurrence. Previous studies have identified…

Mechanisms such as ice-shelf hydrofracturing and ice-cliff collapse may rapidly increase discharge from marine-based ice sheets. Here, we link a probabilistic framework for sea-level projections to a small ensemble of Antarctic ice-sheet…

Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time series of changes in physical climate parameters. Here, we develop two such methods, Surrogate/Model Mixed Ensemble (SMME) and Monte Carlo…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-10-06 D. J. Rasmussen , Malte Meinshausen , Robert E. Kopp

Projected changes in summer precipitation deficits partly depend on alterations in synoptic circulations. Here, the automated Jenkinson-Collison (JC) classification is used to assess the ability of twenty-one Global Climate Models (GCMs) to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-22 P. Herrera-Lormendez , A. John , H. Douville , J. Matschullat

We investigate the properties of the intracluster medium (ICM) that forms within N-body/hydrodynamical simulations of galaxy clusters in a \LambdaCDM cosmology. When radiative cooling and a simple model for galactic feedback are included,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Scott T. Kay , Peter A. Thomas , Adrian Jenkins , Frazer R. Pearce

Although a key driver of Earth's climate system, global land-atmosphere energy fluxes are poorly constrained. Here we use machine learning to merge energy flux measurements from FLUXNET eddy covariance towers with remote sensing and…

In this paper we will prove that GCM-models used in IPCC report AR5 fail to calculate the influences of the low cloud cover changes on the global temperature. That is why those models give a very small natural temperature change leaving a…

General Physics · Physics 2019-07-13 Jyrki Kauppinen , Pekka Malmi

Regional climate models (RCMs) are essential tools for simulating and studying regional climate variability and change. However, their high computational cost limits the production of comprehensive ensembles of regional climate projections…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 Jorge Bano-Medina , Maialen Iturbide , Jesus Fernandez , Jose Manuel Gutierrez

In this study we used HadCRUT4 temperature anomalies for 1950-2013 years in order to investigate properties of recent warming. Our aim was to separate changes produced by short-term ENSO variations and to look on temporal and spatial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-06-24 P. V Belolipetsky

If climate stationarity is dead, how should engineering design standards be modified to account for potential changes in extreme precipitation? Many standards rely on precipitation intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves provided in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-13 Jonathan B. Butcher , Tan Zi

Using a 3D general circulation model (GCM), we investigate the sensitivity of the climate of tidally-locked Earth-like exoplanets, Trappist-1e and Proxima Centauri b, to the choice of a convection parameterization. Compared to a mass-flux…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-11 Denis E. Sergeev , F. Hugo Lambert , Nathan J. Mayne , Ian A. Boutle , James Manners , Krisztian Kohary

There has been a lot of recent interest in developing hybrid models that couple deterministic numerical model components to statistical model components derived using machine learning techniques. One approach that we follow in this pilot…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-08 Alexei Belochitski , Vladimir Krasnopolsky

We present our approach to modeling over 20 years of the solar wind-magnetosphere-ionosphere system using version 5 of the Grand Unified Magnetosphere-Ionosphere Coupling Simulation (GUMICS-5). As input we use 16-s resolution magnetic field…

Space Physics · Physics 2022-11-18 Ilja Honkonen , Max van de Kamp , Theresa Hoppe , Kirsti Kauristie

Decadal-scale interactions between the tropical Atlantic and Pacific Oceans play a crucial role in global climate variability through bidirectional teleconnections. Current climate models show persistent biases in representing these basin…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-08 Yan Xia , Yong-Fu Lin , Jin-Yi Yu , Walter Hannah , Mike Pritchard

In the context of future Venusian missions, it is crucial to improve our understanding of Venus upper atmosphere through 3D modeling, notably for spacecraft orbit computation. This study compares three General Circulation Models (GCMs) of…