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Related papers: Vecchia Approximations and Optimization for Multiv…

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We propose a new scalable framework for spatio-temporal data fusion with multi-fidelity Gaussian processes (MFGPs) that enables fully likelihood-based inference for both stationary and non-stationary fidelity integration. The framework is…

We propose efficient computational methods to fit multivariate Gaussian additive models, where the mean vector and the covariance matrix are allowed to vary with covariates, in an empirical Bayes framework. To guarantee the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-07 Vincenzo Gioia , Matteo Fasiolo , Ruggero Bellio , Simon N. Wood

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Li Wang , Lan Xue , Annie Qu , Hua Liang

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of multivariate linear models taking into account the dependence that may exist between the responses. It consists in estimating beforehand the covariance matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Marie Perrot-Dockès , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Laure Sansonnet , Julien Chiquet

In recent years, it has been convincingly shown that weather forecasting models can be run in single-precision arithmetic. Several models or components thereof have been tested with even lower precision than this. This previous work has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-23 Andrew T. T. McRae , Tim N. Palmer

We consider estimation of the covariance matrix of a multivariate random vector under the constraint that certain covariances are zero. We first present an algorithm, which we call Iterative Conditional Fitting, for computing the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Studies often estimate associations between an outcome and multiple variates. For example, studies of diagnostic test accuracy estimate sensitivity and specificity, and studies of predictive and prognostic factors typically estimate…

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for estimating the joint density of a multivariate outcome of interest in the presence of categorical covariates. Leveraging a Gaussian copula framework, our method effectively captures the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Giovanni Toto , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

We consider stochastic volatility dynamics driven by a general H\"older continuous Volterra-type noise and with unbounded drift. For these so-called SVV-models, we consider the explicit computation of quadratic hedging strategies. While the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

Vecchia approximation has been widely used to accurately scale Gaussian-process (GP) inference to large datasets, by expressing the joint density as a product of conditional densities with small conditioning sets. We study fixed-domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Myeongjong Kang , Florian Schäfer , Joseph Guinness , Matthias Katzfuss

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

Unmeasured or latent variables are often the cause of correlations between multivariate measurements, which are studied in a variety of fields such as psychology, ecology, and medicine. For Gaussian measurements, there are classical tools…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Łukasz Kidziński , Francis K. C. Hui , David I. Warton , Trevor Hastie

Consider a problem of predicting a response variable using a set of covariates in a linear regression model. If it is \emph{a priori} known or suspected that a subset of the covariates do not significantly contribute to the overall fit of…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-13 SM Enayetur Raheem , S. Ejaz Ahmed

Monitoring daily weather fields is critical for climate science, agriculture, and environmental planning, yet fully probabilistic spatio-temporal models become computationally prohibitive at continental scale. We present a case study on…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

We propose a new copula model for replicated multivariate spatial data. Unlike classical models that assume multivariate normality of the data, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that some factors exist that affect the joint…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Pavel Krupskii , Marc G. Genton

In multivariate time series, the estimation of the covariance matrix of the observation innovations plays an important role in forecasting as it enables the computation of the standardized forecast error vectors as well as it enables the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-04 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Bayesian optimization is a technique for optimizing black-box target functions. At the core of Bayesian optimization is a surrogate model that predicts the output of the target function at previously unseen inputs to facilitate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Felix Jimenez , Matthias Katzfuss

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

Mixed-effects models are among the most commonly used statistical methods for the exploration of multispecies data. In recent years, also Joint Species Distribution Models and Generalized Linear Latent Variale Models have gained in…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-31 Bert van der Veen , Robert Brian O'Hara

Computer models or simulators are widely used across scientific fields, but are computationally expensive limiting their use to explore possible scenarios/outcomes. Gaussian process emulators are statistical surrogates that can rapidly…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-27 Josh Seidman , Elaine T. Spiller