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Related papers: Vecchia Approximations and Optimization for Multiv…

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Gaussian process (GP) regression is a flexible, nonparametric approach to regression that naturally quantifies uncertainty. In many applications, the number of responses and covariates are both large, and a goal is to select covariates that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Jian Cao , Joseph Guinness , Marc G. Genton , Matthias Katzfuss

Vecchia's approximate likelihood for Gaussian process parameters depends on how the observations are ordered, which can be viewed as a deficiency because the exact likelihood is permutation-invariant. This article takes the alternative…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-20 Joseph Guinness

The goal of this paper is to investigate how the marginal and dependence structures of a variety of multivariate L\'evy models affect calibration and pricing. To this aim, we study the approaches of Luciano and Semeraro (2010) and Ballotta…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Giovanni Amici , Paolo Brandimarte , Francesco Messeri , Patrizia Semeraro

Spatially varying coefficients (SVC) models allow for marginal effects to be non-stationary over space and thus offer a higher degree of flexibility with respect to standard geostatistical models with external drift. At the same time, SVC…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Yacine Mohamed Idir , Thomas Romary

Gaussian Processes have become an indispensable part of the spatial statistician's toolbox but are unsuitable for analyzing large dataset because of the significant time and memory needed to fit the associated model exactly. Vecchia…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-18 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness

A novel approach for dynamic modeling and forecasting of realized covariance matrices is proposed. Realized variances and realized correlation matrices are jointly estimated. The one-to-one relationship between a positive definite…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-18 Nicole Barthel , Claudia Czado , Yarema Okhrin

A multivariate quantile regression model with a factor structure is proposed to study data with many responses of interest. The factor structure is allowed to vary with the quantile levels, which makes our framework more flexible than the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Shih-Kang Chao , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Ming Yuan

This paper investigates the cross-correlations across multiple climate model errors. We build a Bayesian hierarchical model that accounts for the spatial dependence of individual models as well as cross-covariances across different climate…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-02 Huiyan Sang , Mikyoung Jun , Jianhua Z. Huang

The Mat\'ern model has been a cornerstone of spatial statistics for more than half a century. More recently, the Mat\'ern model has been central to disciplines as diverse as numerical analysis, approximation theory, computational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Emilio Porcu , Moreno Bevilacqua , Robert Schaback , Chris J. Oates

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonly used for prediction and inference for spatial data analyses. However, since estimation and prediction tasks have cubic time and quadratic memory complexity in number of locations, GPs are difficult to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-05 Mohamed A. Abba , Brian J. Reich , Reetam Majumder , Brandon Feng

Multivariate spatial modeling is key to understanding the behavior of materials downstream in a mining operation. The ore recovery depends on the mineralogical composition, which needs to be properly captured by the model to allow for good…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-03 Alvaro I. Riquelme , Julian M. Ortiz

The effects of different parametrizations on the convergence of Bayesian computational algorithms for hierarchical models are well explored. Techniques such as centering, noncentering and partial noncentering can be used to accelerate…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-20 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

Increasingly large and complex spatial datasets pose massive inferential challenges due to high computational and storage costs. Our study is motivated by the KAUST Competition on Large Spatial Datasets 2023, which tasked participants with…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-14 Arnab Hazra , Pratik Nag , Rishikesh Yadav , Ying Sun

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonly used for geospatial analysis, but they suffer from high computational complexity when dealing with massive data. For instance, the log-likelihood function required in estimating the statistical model…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-04 Qilong Pan , Sameh Abdulah , Marc G. Genton , David E. Keyes , Hatem Ltaief , Ying Sun

The partial pivoted Cholesky approximation accurately represents matrices that are close to being low-rank. Meanwhile, the Vecchia approximation accurately represents matrices with inverse Cholesky factors that are close to being sparse.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Eagan Kaminetz , Robert J. Webber

A framework is presented for fitting inverse problem models via variational Bayes approximations. This methodology guarantees flexibility to statistical model specification for a broad range of applications, good accuracy and reduced model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 Luca Maestrini , Robert G. Aykroyd , Matt P. Wand

Accurate and well-calibrated Machine Learning (ML) models are mandatory in high-stakes settings, yet effective multiclass calibration remains challenging: global approaches assume calibration errors are homogeneous across the latent space,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Cesare Barbera , Lorenzo Perini , Giovanni De Toni , Andrea Passerini , Andrea Pugnana

We introduce a novel framework for constructing scalable and flexible covariance kernels for Gaussian processes (GPs) by directly learning the covariance structure under a regression-type parameterization induced by Vecchia approximations,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Jian Cao , Nian Liu , Ying Lin

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

Factor modeling is an essential tool for exploring intrinsic dependence structures among high-dimensional random variables. Much progress has been made for estimating the covariance matrix from a high-dimensional factor model. However, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Quefeng Li , Guang Cheng , Jianqing Fan , Yuyan Wang