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Importance sampling has been reported to produce algorithms with excellent empirical performance in counting problems. However, the theoretical support for its efficiency in these applications has been very limited. In this paper, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-10 Jose H. Blanchet

The goal of this book is to present new mathematical techniques for studying the behaviour of mean-field systems with disordered interactions. We mostly focus on certain problems of statistical inference in high dimension, and on spin…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Tomas Dominguez , Jean-Christophe Mourrat

Optimal control of diffusion processes is intimately connected to the problem of solving certain Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations. Building on recent machine learning inspired approaches towards high-dimensional PDEs, we investigate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Nikolas Nüsken , Lorenz Richter

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to estimate properties of a distribution. This paper investigates trading-off some bias for variance by adaptively winsorizing the importance sampling estimator. The novel winsorizing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-10 Paulo Orenstein

We study the optimal control of mean-field systems with heterogeneous and asymmetric interactions. This leads to considering a family of controlled Brownian diffusion processes with dynamics depending on the whole collection of marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Anna De Crescenzo , Marco Fuhrman , Idris Kharroubi , Huyên Pham

We consider a class of weakly interacting particle systems of mean-field type. The interactions between the particles are encoded in a graph sequence, i.e., two particles are interacting if and only if they are connected in the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Gianmarco Bet , Fabio Coppini , Francesca R. Nardi

Importance sampling is a popular variance reduction method for Monte Carlo estimation, where a notorious question is how to design good proposal distributions. While in most cases optimal (zero-variance) estimators are theoretically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-22 Carsten Hartmann , Lorenz Richter

We describe a new MCMC method optimized for the sampling of probability measures on Hilbert space which have a density with respect to a Gaussian; such measures arise in the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, and in conditioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-04 Michela Ottobre , Natesh S. Pillai , Frank J. Pinski , Andrew M. Stuart

We propose a supervised learning scheme for the first order Hamilton--Jacobi PDEs in high dimensions. The scheme is designed by using the geometric structure of Wasserstein Hamiltonian flows via a density coupling strategy. It is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Jianbo Cui , Shu Liu , Haomin Zhou

We propose a new probabilistic numerical scheme for fully nonlinear equation of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) type associated to stochastic control problem, which is based on the Feynman-Kac representation in [12] by means of control…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-28 Idris Kharroubi , Nicolas Langrené , Huyên Pham

We develop a general theoretical framework for optimal probability density control on standard measure spaces, aimed at addressing large-scale multi-agent control problems. In particular, we establish a maximum principle (MP) for control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Nathan Gaby , Xiaojing Ye

This work considers the problem of sampling from a probability distribution known up to a normalization constant while satisfying a set of statistical constraints specified by the expected values of general nonlinear functions. This problem…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-08 Luiz F. O. Chamon , Mohammad Reza Karimi , Anna Korba

We study fluctuations of mean-field interacting particle systems around their McKean--Vlasov limit. Our main result provides a uniform-in-time quantitative central limit theorem for the fluctuation process, with convergence rate of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Solesne Bourguin , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider mean field social optimization in nonlinear diffusion models. By dynamic programming with a representative agent employing cooperative optimizer selection, we derive a new Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman (HJB) equation to be called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Minyi Huang , Shuenn-Jyi Sheu , Li-Hsien Sun

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

This paper considers an $n$-particle jump-diffusion system with mean filed interaction, where the coefficients are locally Lipschitz continuous. We address the convergence as $n\to\infty$ of the empirical measure of the jump-diffusions to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Zeqian Li

In the present work, we develop a novel particle method for a general class of mean field control problems, with source and terminal constraints. Specific examples of the problems we consider include the dynamic formulation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Katy Craig , Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Harlin Lee

The estimation of rare event or failure probabilities in high dimensions is of interest in many areas of science and technology. We consider problems where the rare event is expressed in terms of a computationally costly numerical model.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Felipe Uribe , Iason Papaioannou , Youssef M. Marzouk , Daniel Straub

In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

The problem of modeling the relationship between univariate distributions and one or more explanatory variables has found increasing interest. Traditional functional data methods cannot be applied directly to distributional data because of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller