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In speculative markets, risk-free profit opportunities are eliminated by traders exploiting them. Markets are therefore often described as "informationally efficient", rapidly removing predictable price changes, and leaving only residual…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Felix Patzelt , Klaus R. Pawelzik

This work develops a duality theory for partially observed linear Gaussian models in discrete time. The state process evolves according to a causal but non-Markovian (or higher-order Gauss-Markov) structure, captured by a lower-triangular…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Aditya Kudre , Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

In this work, we consider the optimal portfolio selection problem under hard constraints on trading volume amounts when the dynamics of the risky asset returns are governed by a discrete-time approximation of the Markov-modulated geometric…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-07 Vladimir Dombrovskii , Tatyana Obyedko

This paper presents a framework of imitating the principal investor's behavior for optimal pricing and hedging options. We construct a non-deterministic Markov decision process for modeling stock price change driven by the principal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-14 Xin Jin

Starting from the Avellaneda-Stoikov framework, we consider a market maker who wants to optimally set bid/ask quotes over a finite time horizon, to maximize her expected utility. The intensities of the orders she receives depend not only on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Diego Zabaljauregui , Luciano Campi

In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

Recognizing that asset markets generally exhibit shared informational characteristics, we develop a portfolio strategy based on transfer learning that leverages cross-market information to enhance the investment performance in the market of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Kexin Wang , Xiaomeng Zhang , Xinyu Zhang

In this paper we consider the De Finetti's optimal dividend and capital injection problem under a Markov additive model. We assume that the surplus process before dividends and capital injections follows a spectrally positive Markov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Lijun Bo , Wenyuan Wang , Kaixin Yan

The challenging problem of conducting fully Bayesian inference for the reaction rate constants governing stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) is considered. Given the challenges underlying this problem, the Markov jump process representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Andrew Golightly , Emma Bradley , Tom Lowe , Colin S. Gillespie

We study the problem of optimally managing an inventory with unknown demand trend. Our formulation leads to a stochastic control problem under partial observation, in which a Brownian motion with non-observable drift can be singularly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Salvatore Federico , Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

Most decision theories, including expected utility theory, rank dependent utility theory and cumulative prospect theory, assume that investors are only interested in the distribution of returns and not in the states of the economy in which…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-03 Carole Bernard , Franck Moraux , Ludger Rueschendorf , Steven Vanduffel

This paper investigates the investment problem of constructing an optimal no-short sequential portfolio strategy in a market with a latent dependence structure between asset prices and partly unobservable side information, which is often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Duy Khanh Lam

We provide a detailed characterization of the optimal consumption stream for the additive habit-forming utility maximization problem, in a framework of general discrete-time incomplete markets and random endowments. This characterization…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-11 Roman Muraviev

In a market with stochastic investment opportunities, we study an optimal consumption investment problem for an agent with recursive utility of Epstein-Zin type. Focusing on the empirically relevant specification where both risk aversion…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Hao Xing

We propose a data-driven Neural Network (NN) optimization framework to determine the optimal multi-period dynamic asset allocation strategy for outperforming a general stochastic target. We formulate the problem as an optimal stochastic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-30 Chendi Ni , Yuying Li , Peter Forsyth , Ray Carroll

This paper studies a robust utility maximization problem for intractable claims under distributional ambiguity, where the distribution of the claim cannot be inferred from market information and its dependence with tradable assets is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Xingjian Ma

Nowadays, machine learning methods have been widely used in stock prediction. Traditional approaches assume an identical data distribution, under which a learned model on the training data is fixed and applied directly in the test data.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-18 Chi Chen , Li Zhao , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Chunxiao Xing

The most commonly accepted model for investors' preferences is expected utility theory. More recently, other theories have emerged and pose new challenges to mathematics. The present paper treats preferences of cumulative prospect theory…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-07 Miklós Rásonyi , José Gregorio Rodríguez-Villarreal

We study optimal investment problem for a diffusion market consisting of a finite number of risky assets (for example, bonds, stocks and options). Risky assets evolution is described by Ito's equation, and the number of risky assets can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Trailing stop is a popular stop-loss trading strategy by which the investor will sell the asset once its price experiences a pre-specified percentage drawdown. In this paper, we study the problem of timing buy and then sell an asset subject…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Tim Leung , Hongzhong Zhang